Astros vs. Marlins: Odds, Picks & Prediction for August 5, 2025

On August 5, the Astros travel to Miami to play the Marlins, who are on a roll. Even with their recent setbacks, Houston is still a good bet as a road underdog. Expect a close, low-scoring game with a total score of less than 8.5 runs due to shaky pitching and humid conditions.

Match Overview

Date	Time (ET)	Venue	Teams	League
Tuesday, August 5 2025	6:40 PM ET	loanDepot Park, Miami, FL	Houston Astros vs. Miami Marlins	MLB

Intro Content

On Tuesday, August 5 2025, the Houston Astros will face the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park in Miami. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET. The Baltimore Astros are the underdogs on the moneyline at +105, while the Marlins are favored at –111. Houston is also favored on the run line at –1.5 with odds of +185, and Miami is +1.5 at –217. The game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs (Over –110 / Under –110).

Game Odds & Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Moneyline	Astros: +105 • Marlins: –111
Run Line	Astros –1.5: +185 • Marlins +1.5: –217
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 8.5: –110 • Under 8.5: –110

Starting Pitchers

Team	Pitcher (W‑L, ERA)
Astros	Jason Alexander (1‑1, 7.36 ERA)
Marlins	Sandy Alcantara (6‑9, 6.36 ERA)

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

Forecast: Partly cloudy, mid‑80s to low‑90s °F
Wind: Light/variable breeze
Humidity: High (typical summer in Miami)
Ballpark Factor: Slight edge to hitters under these humid, warm conditions

Last 5 Games Record

Team	Last 5 Games (SU)	ATS Last 5
Astros	2‑3	2‑3 ATS
Marlins	5‑0	5‑0 ATS

Head‑to‑Head Record

Category	Astros	Marlins
Overall H2H this season	7 wins	3 wins
Over/Under in H2H	6–4	6–4 over

Key Insights & Betting Trends

Hot Marlins are 5‑0 SU and ATS
Astros struggling last 10: 2‑8 ATS
Houston stronger ATS on road: 8‑4 last 12
Totals have gone UNDER in 8 of Miami’s last 12 home games
Astros underdogs have won 58.8% of such games

Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

Moneyline: Astros @ +105
Run Line: Astros –1.5 @ +185
Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ –110

Predicted Outcome

While Miami boasts momentum with a five‑game win streak and clean spread record, Houston’s Jason Alexander offers value at home as an underdog—his team covers at a high rate. With both pitching staffs erratic, lean toward Houston on the moneyline and run line, and expect a low‑scoring contest staying under 8.5 runs.

Sources: https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/, https://www.cbssports.com/nba, https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nba/, https://www.mybookie.ag/sportsbook/