Blue Jays Aim to Sweep Yankees in ALDS Game 3 Showdown

On Wednesday, October 8, the Blue Jays (2–0 in the series) host the Yankees (0–2) at Yankee Stadium in a critical Game 3 of the ALDS. Toronto sends Shane Bieber to the mound, while New York counters with Carlos Rodón. With the Jays in full control of the series, and the Yankees facing elimination, this matchup combines high stakes, contrasting pitching styles, and potential momentum shifts.

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Match Overview

Detail	Information
Date	Wednesday, 8 October 2025
Time	7:08 PM ET
Venue	Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Teams	Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
League	Major League Baseball (AL Division Series)

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The Toronto Blue Jays go for the knockout punch in Game 3 of the ALDS on Wednesday, October 8, 2025, as they visit the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled at 7:08 PM ET. The Jays, leading the series 2–0, lean on Shane Bieber to extend their dominance, while the Yankees turn to Carlos Rodón in a must-win situation. The betting market reflects Toronto’s edge (moneyline ~1.70) though the Yankees have the home crowd and urgency on their side. The projected total (O/U) is 8.0, and the run line tilts slightly toward the Jays at –1.5 (2.10).

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Game Odds & Lines

Moneyline	Toronto: 1.70 • New York: 2.20
Run Line	Toronto –1.5: 2.10 • New York +1.5: 1.80
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 8.0: 1.90 • Under 8.0: 1.90

Starting Pitchers

Blue Jays	Shane Bieber (4–2, 3.57 ERA)
Yankees	Carlos Rodón (18–9, ~3.09 ERA)

Bieber brings playoff experience and steady strikeout ability, while Rodón must deliver in a high-pressure environment after earlier postseason outings.

ALSO READ: Mariners vs Tigers Game 4 Preview: Odds, Picks & Prediction (Oct 8, 2025)

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Weather & Stadium Conditions

Forecast calls for clear skies in New York, with temperatures in the mid-60s F. The wind is expected to blow in from center field at about 5–7 mph, which may marginally suppress long home run shots. Humidity should be comfortable. The wind direction favors pitchers slightly in this matchup.

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Last 5 Games (Regular + Postseason Trends)

Team	Last 5 Games
Blue Jays	W, W, W, W, W (including two wins in the ALDS)
Yankees	L, L, W, L, L (struggling in postseason)

Toronto enters with overwhelming momentum, while New York is under mounting pressure in elimination mode.

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Head-to-Head Record

Stat	Value
2025 Regular Season Series	Toronto won tiebreaker / head-to-head record (used for seeding)
Recent Playoff Meetings	First postseason meeting between these two franchises

There is no long postseason history between them, making this an intriguing series on new ground.

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Key Insights & Betting Trends

• Toronto has the series edge and control of momentum.
• Shane Bieber is trusted in big games, and New York’s lineup has struggled to contain Toronto’s bullpen depth.
• Rodón has shown flashes in the postseason but must minimize mistakes under elimination pressure.
• The Yankees’ bullpen usage has been stretched in Games 1 and 2, slightly raising fatigue and matchup concerns.
• The wind blowing in may reduce the likelihood of extreme home run sessions, favoring a tighter game.
• Toronto’s offense has been firing — they’ve scored 23 runs in two games versus New York’s 8.

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Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

• Moneyline: Blue Jays @ 1.70
• Run Line: Blue Jays –1.5 @ 2.10
• Total Runs: Over 8.0 @ 1.90

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Toronto vs. New York Predicted Outcome

Shane Bieber’s composure paired with Toronto’s offensive confidence gives the Blue Jays the upper hand in this elimination scenario. The Yankees, though backed by a desperate home crowd, may struggle to match the depth and balance of Toronto’s roster. Expect a moderately high-scoring game where the Jays assert control early and close it out. Final prediction: Blue Jays 5–3.

Sources: https://www.oddsshark.com/, https://www.cbssports.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/, https://www.mybookie.ag/sportsbook/