Cubs vs. Red Sox Preview: Odds, Picks & Prediction

Match Overview

Date	Time (ET)	Venue	Teams	League
Friday	6:20 pm	Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL	Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox	MLB

On Friday, 18 July 2025, the Chicago Cubs will face the Boston Red Sox at Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL. First pitch is scheduled for 6:20 pm ET. The Cubs are favored with a moneyline of +114 (away), while the Red Sox are underdogs at approx –120. Chicago is also the run line favorite (Cubs –1.5 @ –110, Red Sox +1.5 @ +100), and the game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs (Over –110, Under –110).

---

Game Odds & Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Moneyline	Cubs: +114 • Red Sox: –120
Run Line	Cubs –1.5: –110 • Red Sox +1.5: +100
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 8.5: –110 • Under 8.5: –110

---

Starting Pitchers

Team	Pitcher	Record (W–L)	ERA
Chicago Cubs	Colin Rea (RHP)	7–3	3.91
Boston Red Sox	Lucas Giolito (RHP)	6–1	3.36

Giolito is sporting a 6–1 record with a solid 3.36 ERA, while Rea is 7–3 with a 3.91 ERA.

---

Last 5 Games Record

Team	Last 5 Games (SU)
Red Sox	W-W-W-W-W (5–0)
Cubs	W-W-L-W-L (3–2)

---

Head-to-Head Record

Metric	Cubs vs. Red Sox
All-Time Record	Cubs lead historically 55–45
Recent Series vs. Cubs	Red Sox have won 5 of last 7 matchups

---

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

Forecast: Partly cloudy, ~75 °F
Wind: ENE → NE at ~6–7 mph, slight impact to under
Humidity: ~66%
Ballpark Factor: Small edge to pitchers given modest wind and cooler evening

---

Key Insights & Betting Trends

• Boston is 10–0 SU in last 10 games
• Red Sox are 5–2 SU in their last 7 vs. Cubs
• Cubs are 5–1 SU in last 6 games at home
• Total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 7 road games
• Cubs’ games have gone UNDER in 5 of last 6 overall

---

Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

Moneyline: Cubs @ +114
Run Line: Cubs –1.5 @ –110
Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ –110

---

Predicted Outcome

Chicago holds a slight tactical edge. Colin Rea has a reliable 7–3 season and will benefit from the home-field comfort and cooler evening that suppress offense. Meanwhile, Boston’s winning streak and strong away form can keep this tight, but the Cubs’ recent home dominance and under-friendly trends make them the smart play on moneyline and under. Expect a controlled, low-scoring affair in Wrigley.

Courtesy: https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.foxsports.com/, https://www.statsinsider.com