Guardians vs Cubs Preview: July 3, 2025 MLB Betting Guide

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Chicago Cubs at Progressive Field on July 3, 2025. Due to their favourable pitching matchups and stellar home record, the Guardians are the clear favourites. Examine the MLB game’s odds, trends, and expert predictions.

Match Overview

Date	Thursday, 3rd Jul 2025
Time (ET)	7:10 PM ET
Venue	Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Teams	Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians
League	Major League Baseball (MLB)

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Intro Content
On Thursday, July 3, 2025, the Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago Cubs at Progressive Field in Cleveland. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET. The Guardians are the favorites with a moneyline of 1.85, and the Cubs are the underdogs at 2.00. Cleveland is also the run line favorite (-1.5, +140), and the over/under for the game is 8.0 runs.

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Game Odds & Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Moneyline	Cubs: 2.00 • Guardians: 1.85
Run Line	Cubs +1.5: -170 • Guardians -1.5: +140
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 8.0: 1.90 • Under 8.0: 1.90

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Starting Pitchers

Team	Pitcher (W-L, ERA)
Cubs	Drew Smyly (3-6, 3.85)
Guardians	Triston McKenzie (4-5, 4.10)

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Weather & Ballpark Conditions

Condition	Details
Forecast	Mostly clear, 75°F
Wind	Blowing out to right at 7 mph
Humidity	60%
Ballpark Factor	Slight edge to hitters due to wind and dimensions

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Last 5 Games Record

Team	Last 5 Games
Cubs	2 Wins – 3 Losses
Guardians	3 Wins – 2 Losses

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Head-to-Head Record (2025 Season)

Team	Head-to-Head (2025)
Cubs	1 Win
Guardians	2 Wins

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Key Insights & Betting Trends

• Guardians have excellent home record
• Cubs have trouble providing run support this year
• Smyly’s strikeout rate is under league average
• Guardians’ offense excels against right-handed pitchers
• Combined runs have gone over in 60% of recent games

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Expert Picks & Bets of Note

Bet Type	Pick
Moneyline	Guardians @ 1.85
Run Line	Guardians -1.5 @ +140
Total Runs	Over 8.0 @ 1.90

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Expected Outcome

The Guardians can utilize their home-field advantage and superior lineup against Smyly’s erratic pitching. McKenzie’s skill at keeping hitters off stride may impinge on the Cubs’ offense, allowing Cleveland the edge to win by more than one run in a competitive but offense-prone ballpark.

Courtesy: https://www.covers.com/, https://www.globenewswire.com, https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.mytopsportsbooks.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/