MLB

Mariners vs. Athletics: Betting Preview, Odds & Prediction for July 28

Match Overview

DateTime ETVenueTeamsLeague
Monday, July 28, 202510:05 PM ETSutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CASeattle Mariners vs. Oakland AthleticsMLB

On Monday, July 28, 2025, the Seattle Mariners face the Oakland Athletics at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento. First pitch is scheduled for 10:05 PM ET. The Mariners are favored on the moneyline at –131, while the Athletics are underdogs at +110. Seattle is also the run‑line favorite (–1.5 at around –120 odds), and the over/under is set at 10 runs.


Game Odds & Lines

Bet TypeOdds
MoneylineMariners: –131 • Athletics: +110
Run LineMariners (–1.5): ~–120 • Athletics (+1.5): ~+120
Total Runs (O/U)Over 10: –102 • Under 10: –121

Starting Pitchers

TeamPitcher (W‑L, ERA)
Away (SEA)Luis Castillo (≈7‑6, ≈3.30 ERA)
Home (OAK)JP Sears (≈7‑8, ≈4.98 ERA)

Last 5 Games Record

TeamLast 5 Games Record
Mariners~3‑2
Athletics~4‑1

Head‑to‑Head Record

Season SeriesMariners vs Athletics
2025 Regular SeasonMariners lead the season series (approx)

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

Forecast: Mostly cloudy, around 61 °F by game time in Oakland.
Wind: Light, variable—no strong influence.
Humidity: Elevated (evening coastal fog likely).
Ballpark Factor: Neutral to slight pitcher’s edge with cooler, damp conditions.


  • Athletics have won 4 of last 5 games
  • Mariners are ~56% win probability when favored at this line
  • A’s hitting near .741 team OPS; Mariners just under .731 OPS
  • Total has gone over 9.5 in only ~2 of A’s last 5 games
  • Athletics strong ATS record recently

  • Moneyline: Mariners @ –131
  • Run Line: Mariners –1.5 @ –120
  • Total Runs: Under 10 @ –121

Predicted Outcome

Seattle’s pitching edge with Castillo’s efficient ERA and better recent form gives them the advantage, despite Oakland’s hot streak. The damp Oakland night may suppress offense. Mariners should win by 2–3 runs, keeping total under 10.

Courtesy: https://www.covers.com/, https://www.globenewswire.com, https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.mytopsportsbooks.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/

Veer

Veer has been writing about sports for the past five years, covering everything from NFL Sundays to NBA tip-offs and even the occasional Wimbledon upset. He breaks down the numbers, storylines, and stats that matter to everyday fans. If you're looking for spreads, props, or straight-up picks, he makes betting easier to understand, and more fun to follow.

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