This Sunday, May 11, the Pirates (17–20) play the Braves (21–15) at PNC Park to conclude their weekend series. Pittsburgh will send lefty Andrew Heaney to the mound, while Atlanta will reply with right-hander AJ Smith-Shawver. As both sides want to gain momentum heading into the second quarter of the season, this encounter includes an exciting duel of arms and contrasting recent form. Get expert insight on pitching matchups, core hitters, and strategy angles for this game.
Match Overview
| Date | Time (ET) | Venue | Teams | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | 8:35 PM | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA | Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates | MLB |
On Sunday, May 11, 2025, the Atlanta Braves will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The first pitch is set at 8:35 PM ET. The Braves are the favourites with a moneyline of 1.70, while the Pirates are the underdogs with a moneyline of 2.22. Atlanta is the run line favourite (-1.5, 2.16), while the game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs.
Check out our other prediction for the Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game!
Game Odds & Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Braves: 1.70 • Pirates: 2.22 |
| Run Line | Braves -1.5: 2.16 • Pirates +1.5: 1.72 |
| Total Runs (O/U) | Over 8.5: 1.91 • Under 8.5: 1.91 |
Starting Pitchers
| Team | Pitcher | Record (W-L) | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | AJ Smith-Shawver | 2-2 | 3.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Andrew Heaney | 2-3 | 3.18 |
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
| Forecast | Wind | Humidity | Ballpark Factor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mostly clear, 67°F | Blowing out to left at 5 mph | 60% | Slight edge to hitters |
Last 5 Games Record
| Team | Record (W-L) |
|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 3-2 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head Record (Last 5 Meetings)
| Date | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-09 | Atlanta Braves | 5-3 |
| 2025-05-08 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4-2 |
| 2024-09-15 | Atlanta Braves | 6-4 |
| 2024-09-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-2 |
| 2024-09-13 | Atlanta Braves | 7-5 |
Key Insights & Betting Trends
- The Braves have a 56% chance of winning.
- The Pirates have a 57% chance of covering the +1.5 run line.
- 52% of the time, under 8.5 runs are anticipated.
- Three of the last five meetings have been won by the Braves.
- The ERAs of both starting pitchers are approximately 3.00.
Check out our other prediction for the Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game!
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
- Moneyline: Atlanta Braves @ 1.70
- Run Line: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 @ 1.72
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ 1.91
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Predicted Outcome
The Pirates’ impressive recent play and the close ERA of their starting pitchers point to a closely contested game, even though the Braves are the slight favourites. The Pirates are a good bet because they have a 57% chance of covering the +1.5 run line. Anticipate a low-scoring game as the Braves defeat the Pirates by a slim margin.
Check out our other prediction for the Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game!
Sources: https://baseball.realgm.com/, https://www.betus.com.pa/sportsbook/mlb/, https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/mlb, https://www.statsinsider.com.au/
