Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Match Prediction and MLB Tips – May 10, 2025

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On Saturday, May 10, the Cubs (19–18) will travel to New York to play the Mets (20–17) at Citi Field. After Chicago throws Jameson Taillon to the mound, New York responds with Clay Holmes, who has been dependable thus far this season. Given that both clubs are trading near.500, this game might be quite important in deciding the division’s early momentum. Get expert insight on pitching matchups, core hitters, and strategy angles for this game.

Match Overview

DateTime (ET)VenueCity, StateTeamsLeague
10 May 20257:10 PMCiti FieldNew York, NYChicago Cubs @ New York MetsMLB

On Saturday, May 10, 2025, the Chicago Cubs will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in New York. At 7:10 p.m. ET, the first pitch will be made. The Mets are the favourites with a moneyline of 1.65, while the Cubs are the underdogs at 2.30. New York is the run line favourite (-1.5, 2.40), while the over/under for the game is 8 runs.

Check out our other prediction for the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays game!


Game Odds & Lines

Bet TypeOdds
MoneylineCubs: 2.30 • Mets: 1.65
Run LineCubs +1.5: 1.61 • Mets -1.5: 2.40
Total Runs (O/U)Over 8: 1.91 • Under 8: 1.91

Starting Pitchers

TeamPitcherRecord (W-L)ERA
Chicago CubsJameson Taillon2-13.86
New York MetsClay Holmes4-12.94

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

ForecastWindHumidityBallpark Factor
Mostly clear, 67°FBlowing out to left at 5 mph60%Slight edge to hitters

Last 5 Games Record

TeamRecord
Chicago Cubs3-2
New York Mets4-1

Head-to-Head Record

Last 5 MeetingsRecord
Cubs vs. Mets2-3

Key Insights & Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won four of their previous five games.
  • Clay Holmes has a 2.94 ERA this season.
  • The Cubs have suffered three losses in their last five games
  • Jameson Taillon has an ERA of 3.86 this season.
  • The Mets are 60% likely to win, according to simulations.

Check out our other prediction for the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals game!


Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

  • Moneyline: Mets @ 1.65
  • Run Line: Mets -1.5 @ 2.40
  • Total Runs: Under 8 @ 1.91

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Predicted Outcome

New York is in a position to defeat the Cubs because of Clay Holmes’ dominant pitching and previous impressive outings.

Check out our other prediction for the Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers game!

Sources: https://baseball.realgm.com/, https://www.betus.com.pa/sportsbook/mlb/, https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/mlb, https://www.statsinsider.com.au/

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