This article will formulate a prediction for the New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game on Thursday, May 1, at City Field. Have a look at it.
SYNOPSIS
Game Overview
At Citi Field on Thursday, Luis Severino will start for the New York Mets against Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks. The series finale’s first pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. The Diamondbacks are marginal underdogs at -104 on the moneyline, while the Mets are narrow favorites at -112. The over/under is set at 8.0 runs, and New York is also favored on the run line (-1.5, +158).
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Starting Pitchers:
New York Mets: Luis Severino (2-2, 3.38 ERA)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Slade Cecconi (1-1, 2.95 ERA)
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Game Info
Away Team: Arizona Diamondbacks (Underdog)
Home Team: New York Mets (Favorite)
Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
League: Major League Baseball (MLB)
Betting Odds
The current betting odds in the USA for Thursday’s MLB sportsbook at City Field are:
Moneyline (Head to Head):
- New York Mets: -112
- Arizona Diamondbacks: -104
Run Line:
- New York Mets -1.5: +158
- Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5: -190
Total Runs (Over/Under 8.0):
- Over 8.0: -108
- Under 8.0: -112
Note: To give you the best guidance possible, our betting recommendations are based on gambling intelligence like FanDuel MLB, Sportsurge MLB, MLB lines betus and industry-leading modeling.
Weather & Ballpark Report
Forecast: Clear skies, around 62°F (17°C) at first pitch
Wind: Light breeze blowing in from right field at 6 mph
Humidity: 55%
At Citi Field, pitchers typically have an advantage, and this evening’s wind slightly amplifies that advantage.
Key Statistics, Trends, and Insights
- The Mets are 13-1 at Citi Field this season, which is a good home record.
- Kodai Senga has been outstanding, pitching 28.2 innings with a 1.26 ERA.
- Zac Gallen has struggled with a 1-4 record and a 5.57 ERA.
- The Diamondbacks are 15-13 and the Mets are 20-9.
- With seven home runs and a.346 batting average, Pete Alonso leads the Mets’ offensively strong lineup.
What Should You Bet On? Our Free Picks
Based on the simulated prediction and outcomes for this match-up, we at Betting World recommend you make the following bets:
- Moneyline: New York Mets at -112
- Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 at -190
- Total Runs: Under 8.0 at -112
Our betting advice is based on industry-leading modeling and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible direction on MLB sportsbooks.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Win Prediction
Although this game should be competitive, the Mets have a slight advantage due to Severino’s superb command and the Diamondbacks’ recent bullpen weariness. Despite Arizona’s explosive firepower, the Mets’ starting lineup and home-field advantage give them an advantage in this game. The algorithms predict a 51.8% likelihood of New York winning this game of MLB sportsbook.
Sources: https://baseball.realgm.com/, https://www.betus.com.pa/sportsbook/mlb/, https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/mlb
