On Saturday, May 10, the Phillies (16-19) go to Cleveland to play the Guardians (15-20) in a crucial interleague game. Philadelphia will send ace Aaron Nola to the mound, while Cleveland will reply with Gavin Williams. Both sides are looking to bounce back from recent disappointments and raise their standings. Get expert insight on pitching matchups, core hitters, and strategy angles for this game.
Match Overview
| Date | Time (ET) | Venue | Teams | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday, 10 May 2025 | 7:10 PM | Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH | Philadelphia Phillies @ Cleveland Guardians | MLB |
Intro Content
On Saturday, May 10, 2025, the Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in Cleveland. At 7:10 p.m. ET, the first pitch will be made. The Phillies are the favourites with a moneyline of 1.80, while the Guardians are the underdogs at 2.05. The over/under for the game is eight runs, and Philadelphia is the favourite on the run line (-1.5, 2.40).
Check out our other prediction for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros game!
Game Odds & Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phillies: 1.80 • Guardians: 2.05 |
| Run Line | Phillies -1.5: 2.40 • Guardians +1.5: 1.61 |
| Total Runs (O/U) | Over 8: 1.91 • Under 8: 1.91 |
Starting Pitchers
| Team | Pitcher | Record (W-L) | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | Gavin Williams | 2-2 | 5.06 |
| Phillies | Aaron Nola | 1-5 | 4.61 |
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
| Forecast | Wind | Humidity | Ballpark Factor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mostly clear, 67°F | Blowing out to left at 5 mph | 60% | Slight edge to hitters |
Last 5 Games Record
| Team | Record (W-L) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 2-3 | Recent struggles at home |
| Phillies | 3-2 | Improved performance on the road |
Head-to-Head Record
| Last 5 Meetings | Record (W-L) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 2-3 | Close contests historically |
| Phillies | 3-2 | Slight edge in recent matchups |
Key Insights & Betting Trends
- Guardians have covered the run line in 62% of the simulations,
- Simulations show that the Phillies have a 51% chance of winning.
- The probability of less than eight runs is 53%.
- The Guardians have not played well at home lately.
- Lately, the Phillies’ offence has been more reliable.
Check out our other prediction for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners game!
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
- Moneyline: Guardians @ 2.05
- Run Line: Guardians +1.5 @ 1.61
- Total Runs: Under 8 @ 1.91
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Guardians Predicted Outcome
Even though the Phillies are the slight favourites, Cleveland is a desirable pick because of the value on the moneyline, the Guardians’ ability to cover the run line, and the game’s propensity to stay under eight runs. Pitching will be a key factor in this hotly contested game.
Check out our other prediction for the Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets game!
Sources: https://baseball.realgm.com/, https://www.betus.com.pa/sportsbook/mlb/, https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/mlb, https://www.statsinsider.com.au/
