Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays Match Prediction and MLB Tips – May 9, 2025

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On Friday, May 9, 2025, the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies will square off at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa. The first pitch is set to go at 7:05 PM ET. With a moneyline of 1.71, the Phillies are the favourite and the Rays are the underdog at 2.20. Philadelphia is likewise the favourite on the run line (-1.5, 2.25), with the game’s over/under at 8.5 runs. Get expert insight on pitching matchups, core hitters, and strategy angles for this game.

Match Overview

DateTime (ET)VenueTeamsLeague
May 9, 20257:05 PMGeorge M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FLPhiladelphia Phillies @ Tampa Bay RaysMLB

On Friday, May 9, 2025, the Philadelphia Phillies will face the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of 1.71, while the Rays are underdogs at 2.20. Philadelphia is also the run line favorite (-1.5, 2.25), and the game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

Check out our other prediction for the Detroit Tigers vs. Colorado Rockies Match game!


Game Odds & Lines

Bet TypeOdds
MoneylinePhillies: 1.71 • Rays: 2.20
Run LinePhillies -1.5: 2.25 • Rays +1.5: 1.67
Total Runs (O/U)Over 8.5: 1.91 • Under 8.5: 1.91

Starting Pitchers

TeamPitcherRecord (W-L)ERA
Philadelphia PhilliesJesús Luzardo3-01.94
Tampa Bay RaysRyan Pepiot2-44.23

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

ForecastWindHumidityBallpark Factor
Partly Cloudy, 84°FBlowing out at 6 mph65%Slight edge to hitters

Recent Performance

Last 5 Games Record

TeamWinsLossesAverage Runs Scored
Philadelphia Phillies326.8
Tampa Bay Rays142.8

Head-to-Head Record

Total Games PlayedPhillies WinsRays WinsPhillies Avg RunsRays Avg Runs
5325264.24.0

Key Insights & Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have won four of their previous five games.
  • The Rays have dropped their last six home games.
  • 56% of simulations have ran with a score below 8.5.
  • Rays have crossed the +1.5 run line in 58% of simulations.
  • The Phillies’ Jesús Luzardo has an outstanding ERA of 1.94.

Check out our other prediction for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Match game!


Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

  • Moneyline: Phillies @ 1.71
  • Run Line: Rays +1.5 @ 1.67
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ 1.91

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays Predicted Outcome

The Phillies are ready to defeat the struggling Rays because of their recent success and Jesús Luzardo’s outstanding outing on the mound. The Rays could, however, keep it close, which would make the +1.5 run line a desirable choice.

Check out our other prediction for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels match game!

Sources: https://baseball.realgm.com/, https://www.betus.com.pa/sportsbook/mlb/, https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/mlb, https://www.statsinsider.com.au/

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