Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Prediction and MLB Sportsbook Tips – May 1, 2025

Table of Contents

This article will formulate a prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs game on Thursday, May 1, at PNC Park. Have a look at it.

SYNOPSIS

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the Chicago Cubs at PNC Park for the last game of their three-game series. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:10 PM ET. The Cubs are the odds-on favourite at $1.58, while the Pirates are the underdog at $2.45. The run lines are Cubs -1.5 ($1.92) and Pirates +1.5 ($1.91). With both options priced at $1.91, the total runs over/under is 8.571.

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Starting Pitchers:

Pittsburgh Pirates: Carmen Mlodzinski (1-3, 6.96 ERA)

Chicago Cubs: Matthew Boyd (2-2, 2.54 ERA)​


Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Game Info


Away Team: Chicago Cubs (Favorite)

Home Team: Pittsburgh Pirates (Underdog)

Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025

Time: 8:40 AM AEST (6:10 PM ET)

Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

League: Major League Baseball (MLB)​


Betting Odds

The current betting odds in the USA for Thursday’s MLB sportsbook at PNC Park are:

Moneyline:

  • Chicago Cubs: -174
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: +146

Run Line:

  • Chicago Cubs -1.5: -102
  • Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -118

Total Runs (Over/Under 9):

  • Over: -100
  • Under: -122

Note: To give you the best guidance possible, our betting recommendations are based on gambling intelligence like FanDuel MLB, Sportsurge MLB, MLB lines betus and industry-leading modelling.


Weather & Ballpark Report

Forecast: Partly cloudy with temperatures around 63°F (17°C) at game time.
Wind: Light winds blowing out to center field at 5 mph.
Humidity: Approximately 60%.

PNC Park is generally neutral and slightly favors batters.


Key Statistics, Trends, and Insights

  • This season, when favoured on the moneyline, the Cubs have won 76.9% of their games.
  • This season, the Pirates have a 31.6% winning percentage when they are moneyline underdogs.
  • The Cubs won both of Matthew Boyd’s games when he was favoured, and he has a 2.54 ERA over his first five starts.
  • Carmen Mlodzinski has only won one of his five starts for the Pirates, and his ERA is 6.95.
  • The Pirates’ team batting average (.224) is lower than the Cubs’ (.263).

What Should You Bet On? Our Free Picks


Based on the simulated prediction and outcomes for this match-up, we at Betting World recommend you make the following bets:

  • Moneyline: Chicago Cubs at -174
  • Run Line: Chicago Cubs -1.5 at -102
  • Total Runs: Over 9 at -100​

Our betting advice is based on industry-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible direction on MLB sportsbooks.


Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Win Prediction

The Cubs have a 62.3% chance of winning this game, based on predictive analytics models. Betting on the Cubs presents a good risk-reward situation when taking into account the betting odds and possible value.

Sources: https://baseball.realgm.com/, https://www.betus.com.pa/sportsbook/mlb/, https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/mlb

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