Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings: Prediction, injury report, betting odds, depth chart and player props

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction: The Phoenix Mercury host the Dallas Wings on July 7 in a crucial WNBA rematch after losing their last encounter. Both teams are dealing with major injuries but bring offensive momentum. Phoenix are slight favorites at home, with Alyssa Thomas expected to lead playmaking.

Mercury eye revenge at home after falling to Wings last week

The Phoenix Mercury will host the Dallas Wings at the Footprint Center on Monday, July 7, in a crucial rematch. The Mercury lost to the Wings 98-89 last Thursday, and with both teams having won one game each in the season series, this match will decide who takes the edge.

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Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings: What’s at stake

Phoenix comes into the game with back-to-back losses, while Dallas rides a two-game win streak. Despite their poor overall record of 6-13, the Wings have found momentum. The Mercury, playing at home, will aim to respond strongly despite major injury concerns.

Match details

• Date: Monday, July 7, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: Footprint Center, Phoenix, Arizona
• TV: KFAA, AZFamily
• Live stream: WNBA League Pass

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Injury report: Key players ruled out

Phoenix Mercury

• Lexi Held (Pneumothorax) – Out
• Satou Sabally (Right ankle) – Out
• Kahleah Copper (Right hamstring) – Out

Phoenix is hit hard by injuries. Sabally was seen in a walking boot during Sunday practice. Copper’s absence comes as a surprise since there were no prior signs of a hamstring issue. Lexi Held is recovering from a partially collapsed lung.

Dallas Wings

• DiJonai Carrington (Rib) – Out
• Arike Ogunbowale (Left thumb) – Out
• Tyasha Harris (Left knee) – Out for the season
• Maddy Siergrist (Right knee) – Out

Dallas is also without key contributors. Ogunbowale’s absence is significant given her scoring average. All injured players were present during Saturday practice and are in the rehab phase.

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings: Probable starting lineups

Phoenix Mercury
Monique Akoa-Makani, Sami Whitcomb, Kathryn Westbeld, Natasha Mack, Alyssa Thomas

Dallas Wings
Li Yueru, Luisa Geiselsoder, Paige Bueckers, Aziaha James, JJ Quinerly

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Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings: Depth Chart

Phoenix depth chart
Starters: Kitija Laksa, Monique Akoa-Makani, Sami Whitcomb, Alyssa Thomas, Kathryn Westbeld
Bench: Kiana Williams, Natasha Mack, Kalani Brown, Murjanatu Musa

Dallas depth chart
Starters: Paige Bueckers, Aziaha James, JJ Quinerly, Li Yueru, Luisa Geiselsoder
Bench: Kaila Charles, Haley Jones, Teaira McCowan, Liatu King, Myisha Hines-Allen

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Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Betting preview: Odds and projections

• Money line: Mercury -250
• Spread: Mercury -6.5 (-105)
• Total points line: Over 164.5 (-115)

The last matchup resulted in 187 total points. Phoenix has scored over 80 in six straight games and cleared 88 points three times. Dallas has crossed 86 points in four of their last six. Both teams have defensive gaps, which points to a likely high-scoring game.

Best bet: Over 164.5 total points at -115 (BetMGM)

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings: Player prop picks

• Alyssa Thomas over 10.5 assists (-110)
  Thomas has averaged 9.4 assists per game and recorded 10 or more in six of her last nine. She continues to lead Phoenix’s playmaking.
• Paige Bueckers under 18.5 points (-110)
  Bueckers has been scoring consistently as a rookie, but Phoenix may focus on limiting her after recent performances.
• Sami Whitcomb over 3.5 three-pointers (-110)
  Whitcomb had a five-game streak of three or more threes before missing in the last game. She is expected to bounce back.

Top prop pick: Alyssa Thomas over 10.5 assists (-110)

The Mercury will be looking to get back on track in front of their home fans. With injuries on both sides, the depth of each team will be tested. Alyssa Thomas will be key to Phoenix’s offense, while Dallas will rely on young talent like Bueckers and James. Expect another high-scoring contest with playoff implications down the line.