Portugal vs Italy women Euro 2025 Predictions, odds, betting tips
Euro 2025 Portugal vs Italy Women Predictions: Portugal Women face Italy Women in a must-win Euro 2025 clash after a heavy loss to Spain. Italy, fresh off a win over Belgium, can seal a quarterfinal spot. Here are the latest predictions, betting odds, team news, and head-to-head stats for this crucial Group B showdown.
Italy Women will seal a place in the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 quarterfinals if they defeat Portugal on Monday night. After edging Belgium 1-0 in their opener, Italy now face a Portugal side still reeling from a 5-0 defeat to Spain. The Group B encounter kicks off at 8:00 PM BST at Stade de Geneve.
Portugal, ranked 22nd in the world, suffered a heavy loss to Spain in their first match. The loss left Portugal with no margin for error as they chase their first-ever appearance in the knockout rounds of a Women’s Euro. Their poor form continues as they have failed to win in their last six games and haven’t scored in their last four.
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Italy are in a better place. Andrea Soncin’s side earned a 1-0 win over Belgium thanks to a screamer from Bayern Munich midfielder Andrea Caruso. Italy can now qualify regardless of the Spain-Belgium result provided they beat Portugal.
Italy have struggled at the last two Euros, crashing out in the group stages both times. But with three wins in their last four matches and only three goals conceded in their six qualifying games, this team appears more stable.
Portugal could make changes after their opening collapse. Ana Seica and Ana Borges may come into the starting XI. Star player Kika Nazareth is unlikely to start as she recovers from an ankle injury.
Italy are expected to remain unchanged. Soncin’s side looked compact and disciplined in their win over Belgium and will look to build on that.
Portugal (3-5-2): Pereira; Seica, Costa, F. Pinto; Borges, Jacinto, Norton, T. Pinto, Amado; D. Silva, J. Silva
Italy (4-4-1-1): Giuliani; Lenzini, Salvai, Linari, Di Guglielmo; Cantore, Giugliano, Severini, Boattin; Caruso; Girelli
Veteran striker Cristiana Girelli has 53 international goals and is tipped to score again on Monday. Portugal’s fragile defense offers her the perfect opportunity.
Bet Tip 1: Girelli to score, Italy to win, and both teams to score – 15/4
While Italy are favorites, Portugal’s attack led by Diana and Jessica Silva may still find a goal.
Bet Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals – 9/10
Portugal have conceded 25 goals in their last six losses. That trend, combined with Italy’s attacking potential, could make this a high-scoring contest.
Portugal 4/1 | Draw 23/10 | Italy 4/7
Italy are expected to win but may face more resistance than Spain did. Still, their form and defensive record suggest they have the upper hand.
Final score prediction: Portugal 1-3 Italy (Odds: 12/1)
Handicap Tip: Italy -1 (19/10)
Big Odds Tip: Italy to win 4-0 (35/1)
Portugal are winless in six matches and haven’t scored in their last four
Italy are unbeaten in four, with three wins
This is the first Euros meeting between the two sides
Portugal are ranked 22nd, Italy 13th in FIFA rankings
Italy have a chance to book early passage to the quarters and their confidence is rising. Portugal will need a big turnaround to avoid another early exit.
The spotlight will be on Girelli to deliver again, while Portugal must show resilience to avoid back-to-back heavy defeats. Betting markets are leaning Italy but Portugal’s attacking threats could still surprise.
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