Royals vs. Phillies Preview: Betting Picks & Predictions

On Sunday, September 14, 2025, the Kansas City Royals (74–74) face the Philadelphia Phillies (88–60) at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:35 PM ET. The Phillies lead the series 1–0 after an 8–2 victory on Friday.

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Match Overview

Detail	Information
Date	Sunday, 14 September 2025
Time	1:35 PM ET
Venue	Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Teams	Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
League	Major League Baseball (MLB)

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Game Odds & Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Moneyline	Kansas City: +125, Philadelphia: -149
Run Line	Philadelphia -1.5: +137
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 9: -120, Under 9: -100

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Starting Pitchers

Team	Starting Pitcher
Kansas City Royals	Noah Cameron (7–7, 3.00 ERA)
Philadelphia Phillies	Aaron Nola (4–8, 6.24 ERA)

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Weather & Ballpark Conditions

• Forecast: Partly cloudy, 80°F
• Wind: Light breeze from the southwest at 5 mph
• Humidity: 60%
• Ballpark Factor: Neutral, slight advantage to hitters

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Last 5 Games Record

Team	Last 5 Games
Kansas City Royals	L, L, W, L, W
Philadelphia Phillies	W, W, W, W, W

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Head-to-Head Record

Stat	Value
2024 Season Series	Royals 3 – 4 Phillies
Last 10 Meetings	Phillies lead 6–4

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Key Insights & Betting Trends

• The Phillies have won five consecutive games and eight of their last ten.
• The Royals have struggled on the road with a 34–39 record.
• Aaron Nola has a high ERA of 6.24, indicating potential vulnerability.
• Noah Cameron has been effective with a 3.00 ERA, providing stability for the Royals.
• The Phillies’ offense, led by Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper, has been potent, averaging over 5 runs per game in their last ten.

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Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

• Moneyline: Phillies -149
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+137)
• Total Runs: Over 9 (-120)

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Predicted Outcome

Despite Aaron Nola’s high ERA, the Phillies’ offense is expected to overpower the Royals’ pitching. Noah Cameron’s solid performance may keep the Royals competitive early, but Philadelphia’s depth and momentum should lead them to a 6–4 victory.

Sources: https://www.oddsshark.com/, https://www.cbssports.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/, https://www.mybookie.ag/sportsbook/