MLB

Twins vs. Pirates Betting Preview: Odds, Picks & Prediction for July 12

The Minnesota Twins are the road favourites to defeat the struggling Pirates in Pittsburgh. Expert predictions predict that Minnesota will win and cover the run line in a high-scoring game because Joe Ryan is pitching well and Mitch Keller is unreliable at night.

Match Overview

Date	Saturday, 12 July 2025
Time	2:10 PM ET
Venue	Target Field, Minnesota
Teams	Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
League	Major League Baseball (MLB)

On Saturday, July 12, 2025, the Minnesota Twins will face the Pittsburgh Pirates at Target Field in Minnesota. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 PM ET. The Minnesota Twins are favored with a moneyline of -135, while the Pittsburgh Pirates are underdogs at +115. Minnesota is also the run line favorite (-1.5, +155), and the game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

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Game Odds & Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Moneyline	Twins: -135 • Pirates: +115
Run Line	Twins -1.5: +155 • Pirates +1.5: -180
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 8.5: -110 • Under 8.5: -110

Starting Pitchers

Team	Pitcher	Record (W-L)	ERA
Minnesota Twins	Joe Ryan	6-4	3.67
Pittsburgh Pirates	Mitch Keller	5-5	4.12

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

Factor	Details
Forecast	Partly cloudy, 75°F
Wind	Blowing out to right at 7 mph
Humidity	65%
Ballpark Factor	Slight edge to hitters

Last 5 Games Record

Team	Record (Last 5 Games)
Minnesota Twins	3-2
Pittsburgh Pirates	1-4

Head-to-Head Record (2025 Season)

Matchup	Twins Wins	Pirates Wins
Season Series	4	2

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Key Insights & Betting Trends

Twins have won 4 of their last 6 vs Pirates
Joe Ryan has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 straight starts
Pirates are 2-6 in last 8 home games
Over has hit in 3 of last 4 Twins games
Mitch Keller has a 5.56 ERA in night games this season

Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

Bet Type	Pick	Odds
Moneyline	Twins	-135
Run Line	Twins -1.5	+155
Total Runs	Over 8.5	-110

Predicted Outcome

The Twins look like the better-prepared team heading into this matchup. Joe Ryan has been solid lately, showing good command and consistency, and he’ll be up against a Pirates offense that’s slumping badly at home. Mitch Keller has had flashes of brilliance this season but hasn’t looked sharp over his last few outings, especially under the lights. Minnesota also holds the edge in recent head-to-head meetings and comes in with more momentum. Expect the Twins to control this one from the mound and at the plate — likely covering the run line in a 6–3 type of win.

Courtesy: https://www.covers.com/, https://www.globenewswire.com, https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.mytopsportsbooks.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/

Veer

Veer has been writing about sports for the past five years, covering everything from NFL Sundays to NBA tip-offs and even the occasional Wimbledon upset. He breaks down the numbers, storylines, and stats that matter to everyday fans. If you're looking for spreads, props, or straight-up picks, he makes betting easier to understand, and more fun to follow.