White Sox Favored to Extend Dominance Over Pirates in PNC Park Clash

The White Sox meet the Pirates at PNC Park on July 19, with Dylan Cease favored over Mitch Keller. Backed by recent form and matchup history, Chicago is the smart moneyline and run line play, with value also on the under.

Match Overview

Date	Time (ET)	Venue	Teams	League
Saturday, July 19, 2025	3:40 PM ET	PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA	Chicago White Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Major League Baseball (MLB)

On Saturday, July 19, 2025, the Chicago White Sox will face the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 PM ET. The White Sox are favored with a moneyline of –150, while the Pirates are underdogs at +130. Chicago is also the run line favorite (–1.5, –115), and the game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs (Over +100 / Under –110).

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Game Odds & Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Moneyline	Chicago White Sox: –150 • Pittsburgh Pirates: +130
Run Line	White Sox –1.5: –115 • Pirates +1.5: –105
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 8.5: +100 • Under 8.5: –110

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Starting Pitchers

Team	Starter
Chicago White Sox	Dylan Cease (7‑4, 3.65 ERA)
Pittsburgh Pirates	Mitch Keller (5‑6, 4.20 ERA)

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Weather & Ballpark Conditions

Condition	Details
Forecast	Partly cloudy, 78 °F
Wind	Blowing out to right field at 6 mph
Humidity	60 %
Ballpark Factor	Slight edge to hitters (typical PNC Park wind)

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Last 5 Games Record

Team	L‑W‑L‑W‑W (Last 5)
Chicago White Sox	W‑W‑L‑W‑L
Pittsburgh Pirates	L‑L‑W‑L‑W

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Head‑to‑Head (Season Series)

Matchups	Record
Chicago vs Pittsburgh	White Sox lead 2–1

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Key Insights & Betting Trends

• White Sox have won 4 of last 5 vs Pirates
• Keller tends to give up early runs
• Cease has 4 quality starts in last 5
• Under 8.5 profitable in past 7 at PNC under cloudy
• Pirates better with run line at home

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Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

• Moneyline: Chicago White Sox @ –150
• Run Line: Chicago White Sox –1.5 @ –115
• Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ –110

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Predicted Outcome

Chicago’s Dylan Cease has the advantage on the mound, boasting more consistent strikeout numbers and WHIP control over Pittsburgh’s Keller, who’s struggled with first‑inning pressure. With the White Sox’s recent dominance in this matchup and PNC Park’s wind holding balls in, under 8.5 runs is appealing. Expect the White Sox to keep their hold and secure a 4–2 or 5–3 win, covering the run line.

Courtesy: https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.foxsports.com/, https://www.statsinsider.com