Miami Marlins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Match Prediction and Tips – May 11, 2025

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On Sunday, May 11, the Marlins (13–22) head to Chicago to wrap off a series against the slumping White Sox (9–26). Miami will send Sandy Alcantara to the mound in the hopes that he can bounce back from a challenging start to the season, while Chicago turns to Tanner Burke, who has showed potential. Both teams have a critical opportunity to pick up steam in this game as they attempt to bounce back from weak beginnings. Get expert insight on pitching matchups, core hitters, and strategy angles for this game.

Match Overview

DateTime (ET)VenueTeamsLeague
Sunday, May 11, 20252:10 PMGuaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, ILMiami Marlins @ Chicago White SoxMLB

On Sunday, May 11, 2025, the Miami Marlins will take on the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago. At 2:10 PM ET, the first pitch is scheduled. The Marlins are the favourites with a moneyline of 1.89, while the White Sox are the underdogs at 1.96. Miami is the run line favourite (-1.5, 2.52), while the game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

Check out our other prediction for the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays game!


Game Odds & Lines

Bet TypeOdds
MoneylineMarlins: 1.89 • White Sox: 1.96
Run LineMarlins -1.5: 2.52 • White Sox +1.5: 1.53
Total Runs (O/U)Over 8.5: 1.91 • Under 8.5: 1.91

Starting Pitchers

TeamPitcherRecordERA
Miami MarlinsSandy Alcantara2-48.42
Chicago White SoxTanner Burke2-44.35

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

  • Forecast: Partly cloudy, 62°F
  • Wind: Blowing out to left at 6 mph
  • Humidity: 68%
  • Ballpark Factor: Neutral, slight edge to hitters based on today’s conditions.

Last 5 Games Record

TeamRecord
Miami Marlins2-3
Chicago White Sox1-4

Head-to-Head Record

All-Time MeetingsMarlins WinsWhite Sox Wins
241212

Key Insights & Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have won two straight games against the White Sox.
  • In their last 20 road games, the White Sox have lost 17 of them.
  • The ERA for Sandy Alcantara is now 8.42.
  • The White Sox’s most recent victory ended a four-game losing streak.
  • When it comes to runners in scoring position, the Marlins’ offence struggles.

Check out our other prediction for the Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game!


Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

  • Moneyline: Chicago White Sox @ 1.96
  • Run Line: White Sox +1.5 @ 1.53
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ 1.91FanDuel

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago White Sox Predicted Outcome

Tanner Burke has been more reliable than Sandy Alcantara this season, so the White Sox have a slight advantage despite recent setbacks. With the Marlins’ offensive shortcomings and Alcantara’s high ERA, the White Sox are well-positioned to take advantage of the situation and win by a slim margin at home.

Check out our other prediction for the Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game!

Sources: https://baseball.realgm.com/, https://www.betus.com.pa/sportsbook/mlb/, https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/mlb, https://www.statsinsider.com.au/

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