MLB

Brewers vs. Mets: Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup and Picks for July 3

The Brewers and Mets have split the series thus far, and they will play each other at Citi Field on July 3. Expect a close, low-scoring game where New York might win by a slim margin at home thanks to the Brewers’ strong pitching and recent trends.

Match Preview

CategoryDetails
DateThursday, July 3, 2025
Time (ET)7:10 PM
VenueCiti Field, Queens, NY
TeamsMilwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
LeagueMajor League Baseball

On Thursday, July 3, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will face the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. The Mets are favored with a moneyline of 1.64, while the Brewers are underdogs at 2.31. New York is also the run line favorite (-1.5, 2.37), and the game’s over/under is set at 8.0 runs.


Game Odds & Lines

Bet TypeOdds
MoneylineBrewers: 2.31 • Mets: 1.64
Run LineBrewers +1.5: 1.74 • Mets -1.5: 2.37
Total Runs (O/U)Over 8.0: 1.84 • Under 8.0: 1.99

Starting Pitchers

TeamPitcher (W-L, ERA)
Milwaukee BrewersJosé Quintana (6–2, 3.30 ERA)
New York MetsDavid Peterson (5–4, 3.49 ERA)

Last 5 Games Record

TeamRecord
Milwaukee Brewers3–2 (won 3 of last 4)
New York Mets2–3 (inconsistent)

Head-to-Head Record (2025)

DateResult
July 2 (Gm 1)Brewers 7–2 (Win)
July 2 (Gm 2)Mets 7–3 (Win)
SeriesTied 1–1

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

ConditionDetails
ForecastPartly sunny, hot, chance of t-storms
Temperature91°F (High)
WindLight breeze, variable direction
HumidityHigh
Ballpark FactorSlight edge to hitters

Key Insights & Betting Trends

  • Mets are 20–9 as moneyline favorites above 1.60
  • Brewers scoring 6.3 runs per game last 10
  • Mets averaging only 3.1 runs over last 10
  • Under has hit in 3 of last 4 Brewers games
  • Brewers have won 3 straight as underdogs

Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

Bet TypePick
MoneylineMets (1.64)
Run LineBrewers +1.5 (1.74)
Total Runs (O/U)Under 8.0 (1.99)

Predicted Outcome

This matchup could tilt either way. While the Mets are home favorites with a solid starter in David Peterson, their bats have cooled off significantly. The Brewers, on the other hand, are trending upward with consistent offensive production and José Quintana dealing effectively on the mound. Expect a closely contested game, likely decided in the late innings. Lean toward the Mets pulling off a narrow win, but the Brewers covering the spread makes strong betting sense. A low-scoring affair is expected with weather potentially keeping the ball in the park.

Courtesy: https://www.covers.com/, https://www.globenewswire.com, https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.mytopsportsbooks.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/

Veer

Veer has been writing about sports for the past five years, covering everything from NFL Sundays to NBA tip-offs and even the occasional Wimbledon upset. He breaks down the numbers, storylines, and stats that matter to everyday fans. If you're looking for spreads, props, or straight-up picks, he makes betting easier to understand, and more fun to follow.

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