Brewers vs. Mets: Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup and Picks for July 3
The Brewers and Mets have split the series thus far, and they will play each other at Citi Field on July 3. Expect a close, low-scoring game where New York might win by a slim margin at home thanks to the Brewers’ strong pitching and recent trends.
Match Preview
Category
Details
Date
Thursday, July 3, 2025
Time (ET)
7:10 PM
Venue
Citi Field, Queens, NY
Teams
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
League
Major League Baseball
On Thursday, July 3, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will face the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. The Mets are favored with a moneyline of 1.64, while the Brewers are underdogs at 2.31. New York is also the run line favorite (-1.5, 2.37), and the game’s over/under is set at 8.0 runs.
Game Odds & Lines
Bet Type
Odds
Moneyline
Brewers: 2.31 • Mets: 1.64
Run Line
Brewers +1.5: 1.74 • Mets -1.5: 2.37
Total Runs (O/U)
Over 8.0: 1.84 • Under 8.0: 1.99
Starting Pitchers
Team
Pitcher (W-L, ERA)
Milwaukee Brewers
José Quintana (6–2, 3.30 ERA)
New York Mets
David Peterson (5–4, 3.49 ERA)
Last 5 Games Record
Team
Record
Milwaukee Brewers
3–2 (won 3 of last 4)
New York Mets
2–3 (inconsistent)
Head-to-Head Record (2025)
Date
Result
July 2 (Gm 1)
Brewers 7–2 (Win)
July 2 (Gm 2)
Mets 7–3 (Win)
Series
Tied 1–1
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
Condition
Details
Forecast
Partly sunny, hot, chance of t-storms
Temperature
91°F (High)
Wind
Light breeze, variable direction
Humidity
High
Ballpark Factor
Slight edge to hitters
Key Insights & Betting Trends
Mets are 20–9 as moneyline favorites above 1.60
Brewers scoring 6.3 runs per game last 10
Mets averaging only 3.1 runs over last 10
Under has hit in 3 of last 4 Brewers games
Brewers have won 3 straight as underdogs
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
Bet Type
Pick
Moneyline
Mets (1.64)
Run Line
Brewers +1.5 (1.74)
Total Runs (O/U)
Under 8.0 (1.99)
Predicted Outcome
This matchup could tilt either way. While the Mets are home favorites with a solid starter in David Peterson, their bats have cooled off significantly. The Brewers, on the other hand, are trending upward with consistent offensive production and José Quintana dealing effectively on the mound. Expect a closely contested game, likely decided in the late innings. Lean toward the Mets pulling off a narrow win, but the Brewers covering the spread makes strong betting sense. A low-scoring affair is expected with weather potentially keeping the ball in the park.
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