St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Prediction and MLB Sportsbook Tips – May 4, 2025

This article analyzes important variables that might affect the result of the St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets game that is scheduled for Sunday, May 4, at Busch Stadium. It will predict the anticipated result of the game by analyzing team performance, current trends, and the contributions of important players.

Match Overview

DateTime (ET)VenueTeamsLeague
Sunday, 4 May 20254:15 PMBusch Stadium, St. Louis, MONew York Mets @ St. Louis CardinalsMLB

The New York Mets will play the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium in St. Louis on Sunday, May 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:15 PM ET. The Cardinals are underdogs at 2.23, while the Mets are favoured with a moneyline of 1.68. The game’s over/under is set at 8.214 runs, and the Mets are the run line favourite (-1.5, 2.14).

Check out our other prediction for the Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox game!

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Game Odds

Bet TypeOdds
MoneylineMets: 1.68 • Cardinals: 2.23
Run LineMets -1.5: 2.14 • Cardinals +1.5: 1.74
Total Runs (O/U)Over 8.214: 1.91 • Under 8.214: 1.91

Starting Pitchers

TeamPitcherRecord (W-L)ERA
St. Louis CardinalsErick Fedde1-34.68
New York MetsTylor Megill3-21.74

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

  • Forecast: Mostly clear, 67°F
  • Wind: Blowing out to left at 5 mph
  • Humidity: 60%
  • Ballpark Factor: Hitters have a small edge in the current situation.

Key Insights & Betting Trends

  • The Mets have a 56% chance of winning.
  • The prediction for Cardinals +1.5 cover was 57% accurate.
  • There is a 49% chance of time under 8.214 runs.
  • Tylor Megill’s ERA was significantly lower than Fedde’s.
  • The Cardinals’ home underdog status is crucial.

Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

  • Moneyline: Cardinals @ 2.23
  • Run Line: Cardinals +1.5 @ 1.74
  • Total Runs: Under 8.214 @ 1.91

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Predicted Outcome

The Cardinals are in a good position since they are home underdogs, even if Tylor Megill’s outstanding 1.74 ERA provides the Mets a significant pitching edge. A fiercely contested game is anticipated given the Cardinals’ chance to cover the run line and their minor advantage in hitting conditions. As a result, the Cardinals may utilize home-field advantage to keep the game close even if the Mets take the lead.

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