Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Picks & Prediction for July 29, 2025

Match Overview
Date	Tuesday, 29 July 2025
Time	6:40 p.m. ET
Venue	Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
Teams	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers
League	Major League Baseball (MLB)

Intro Content

On Tuesday, 29 July 2025, the Arizona Diamondbacks will face the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in Detroit. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of –143, while the Diamondbacks are underdogs at +120. Detroit is also the run line favorite (–1.5 at +143), and the game’s over/under total is set at 8.5 runs.

Game Odds & Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Moneyline	Diamondbacks: +120 • Tigers: –143
Run Line	Diamondbacks +1.5: –172 • Tigers –1.5: +143
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 8.5: –115 • Under 8.5: –105

Starting Pitchers

Team	Pitcher (W–L, ERA)
Diamondbacks (Away)	Brandon Pfaadt (10–6, approx. ERA ≈ ?)
Tigers (Home)	Casey Mize (9–4, approx. ERA ~3.40)

Last 5 Games Record

Team	Last 5 Games
Detroit Tigers	3–7 over past 10, recent form poor even as favorites
Arizona Diamondbacks	4–6 last 10; 2–5 as road underdogs in last seven road games

Head‑to‑Head Record

Matchup	Tigers vs Diamondbacks
H2H this season	Tigers swept series opener Monday and hold advantage entering this contest

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

Forecast: Partly cloudy and hot, around 98 °F. Wind conditions likely minimal effect. Humidity high. Ballpark factor: heat may slightly favour pitchers early but hitters later as balls carry in the dry Detroit air.

Key Insights & Betting Trends

• Tigers win ~63.5% when favored at –143 or shorter
• Tigers only 2–8 ATS over past ten games
• Diamondbacks cover 73% of +120+ underdog lines (11‑5)
• Pfaadt’s road starts underdog record ~5‑4 ATS
• Both teams hitting under recent O/U averages; under trends strong

Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

Moneyline: Tigers @ –143
Run Line: Tigers –1.5 @ +143
Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ –105

Predicted Outcome

Expect another tight contest shaped by strong pitching matchups. Casey Mize lines up well against a Diamondbacks lineup that has struggled on the road, especially as underdogs. Detroit’s home advantage and implied win probability (~58 %) give them edge. If Tigers can get early offense, Pfaadt may struggle to keep pace. Lean Detroit moneyline with under 8.5 as scoring likely suppressed by the heat and pitching.

Courtesy: https://www.covers.com/, https://www.globenewswire.com, https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.mytopsportsbooks.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/