Tigers vs Twins: Detroit Favored Behind Mize, Recent Form

Match Overview

Date	Time (ET)	Venue	Teams	League
Wednesday, 30 July 2025	6:40 p.m. ET	Comerica Park, Detroit, MI	Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers	Major League Baseball (MLB)

Intro Content

On Wednesday, 30 July 2025, the Minnesota Twins will face the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in Detroit. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The Tigers are favored on the moneyline at −161, while the Twins are underdogs at +135. Detroit is also the run‑line favorite (Tigers −1.5 at +134, Twins +1.5 at −161), and the game’s over/under is set at 8 runs (Over and Under both at +??? – see trends).

Game Odds & Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Moneyline	Twins: +135 • Tigers: −161
Run Line	Twins +1.5: −161 • Tigers −1.5: +134
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 8: +? • Under 8: +? (market around even odds, implied by trends)

Starting Pitchers

Team	Pitcher
Twins	Simeon Woods Richardson (recent form, ERA ~4‑+)
Tigers	Casey Mize (9‑4, 3.43 ERA)

Last 5 Games Record (Most Recent 5)

Team	Last 5 games	Record
Tigers	W, W, W, L, W	4‑1
Twins	L, L, L, L, W	1‑4

Head‑to‑Head Record (2025 season and all‑time)

Context	Record
2025 season	Tigers lead 4‑2
All‑time (regular season)	Tigers lead ~1169‑1088 (.518 W%)

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

Forecast: Mostly clear, comfortable mid‑summer evening
Wind: Likely light; neutral effect
Humidity: Moderate (~60%)
Ballpark Factor: Balanced, slight edge to pitchers given recent totals under trend

Key Insights & Betting Trends

• Tigers win 64.5% as moneyline favorite
• Mize is 9‑4 with 3.43 ERA on season
• Twins have lost 4 of last 5 games
• Tigers cover run‑line in 5 of last 5 home vs losing‑record teams
• Four of last five matchups between these teams went under total

Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

Bet Type	Pick & Odds
Moneyline	Tigers @ −161
Run Line	Tigers −1.5 @ +134
Total Runs	Under 8 runs @ EVEN-ish

Predicted Outcome

Detroit looks poised to win behind stronger recent form, home advantage, and Mize’s sharp pitching. The Twins have struggled on the road and against Detroit this season, so look for a Tigers win and likely covering the run‑line. Expect a lower‑scoring affair under 8 runs.

Sources: https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/, https://www.cbssports.com/nba, https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nba/, https://www.mybookie.ag/sportsbook/