Swiatek vs Anisimova Wimbledon Final Preview: Can Amanda Pull Off the Upset?
Iga Swiatek and Amanda Anisimova are set to clash in the Wimbledon women’s singles final on Saturday, July 12, at 11 a.m. ET. Swiatek, a five-time Grand Slam champion, returns to a major final, while Anisimova reaches this stage for the first time. Betting markets lean toward Swiatek, but there’s growing buzz that the American could spring a surprise.
Iga Swiatek’s experience meets Amanda Anisimova’s fearless swing
Iga Swiatek has made it to her sixth Grand Slam final, winning all five of her previous appearances — four at the French Open and one at the U.S. Open. Her track record speaks for itself. The Polish star may not be known for grass-court dominance, but she’s adapted well this season, going 18-3 on the surface since 2023.
Also Read: Amanda Anisimova’s Family: Here’s the Inside Story of Her Boyfriend, Parents
On the other side of the net, Amanda Anisimova is writing a new chapter in her career. She stunned World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinals and now has a shot at her first Slam. A win would also likely push her into the WTA’s top five for the first time.
Amanda Anisimova vs. Iga Swiatek: Betting odds
Swiatek enters as the favorite with moneyline odds of -240 at DraftKings. Anisimova’s odds sit around +185 to +175 at most sportsbooks, offering solid value for bettors looking for an upset.
The game spread is -3.5 in favor of Swiatek, while the over/under for total games hovers around 22.5.
Where Anisimova can break through
Swiatek’s return game is elite on clay and hard courts — breaking over 44% of the time — but that drops to 24% on grass. Her loopy swing and timing don’t always match the speed and low bounce of the surface.
Anisimova, on the other hand, has adapted well to grass. Her break rate climbs to 39% on this surface, making her one of the more dangerous returners in this tournament. Against Sabalenka, she handled pace and pressure with ease — two factors that will matter again against Swiatek.
The X-Factor: Grand Slam nerves
This will be Anisimova’s first time playing a Slam final, and how she handles the moment could shape the outcome. Swiatek has been here before and knows how to manage the pressure.
Still, the Polish star has looked vulnerable at times this season. She failed to reach the French Open final and struggled with second-serve points in recent matches. If Anisimova stays aggressive and keeps her errors low, this could go down to the wire.
Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimova Final prediction
Amanda Anisimova may not have Swiatek’s resume, but she has the power, timing, and grass-court skills to pull off a shocker. With her return game clicking and Swiatek’s grass form not quite dominant, the American is a live underdog.
One unit on Anisimova to win at +175 offers a promising risk-reward for bettors chasing Wimbledon value.
Swiatek vs Anisimova: Best bets:
- Anisimova Moneyline (+175 at Caesars)
- Under 21.5 Games (+100 at DraftKings)
Wimbledon finals are made for surprises. This one could be no different.
