On August 5, the Astros travel to Miami to play the Marlins, who are on a roll. Even with their recent setbacks, Houston is still a good bet as a road underdog. Expect a close, low-scoring game with a total score of less than 8.5 runs due to shaky pitching and humid conditions.
Match Overview
| Date | Time (ET) | Venue | Teams | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, August 5 2025 | 6:40 PM ET | loanDepot Park, Miami, FL | Houston Astros vs. Miami Marlins | MLB |
Intro Content
On Tuesday, August 5 2025, the Houston Astros will face the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park in Miami. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET. The Baltimore Astros are the underdogs on the moneyline at +105, while the Marlins are favored at –111. Houston is also favored on the run line at –1.5 with odds of +185, and Miami is +1.5 at –217. The game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs (Over –110 / Under –110).
Game Odds & Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Astros: +105 • Marlins: –111 |
| Run Line | Astros –1.5: +185 • Marlins +1.5: –217 |
| Total Runs (O/U) | Over 8.5: –110 • Under 8.5: –110 |
Starting Pitchers
| Team | Pitcher (W‑L, ERA) |
|---|---|
| Astros | Jason Alexander (1‑1, 7.36 ERA) |
| Marlins | Sandy Alcantara (6‑9, 6.36 ERA) |
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
Forecast: Partly cloudy, mid‑80s to low‑90s °F
Wind: Light/variable breeze
Humidity: High (typical summer in Miami)
Ballpark Factor: Slight edge to hitters under these humid, warm conditions
Last 5 Games Record
| Team | Last 5 Games (SU) | ATS Last 5 |
|---|---|---|
| Astros | 2‑3 | 2‑3 ATS |
| Marlins | 5‑0 | 5‑0 ATS |
Head‑to‑Head Record
| Category | Astros | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Overall H2H this season | 7 wins | 3 wins |
| Over/Under in H2H | 6–4 | 6–4 over |
Key Insights & Betting Trends
Hot Marlins are 5‑0 SU and ATS
Astros struggling last 10: 2‑8 ATS
Houston stronger ATS on road: 8‑4 last 12
Totals have gone UNDER in 8 of Miami’s last 12 home games
Astros underdogs have won 58.8% of such games
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
Moneyline: Astros @ +105
Run Line: Astros –1.5 @ +185
Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ –110
Predicted Outcome
While Miami boasts momentum with a five‑game win streak and clean spread record, Houston’s Jason Alexander offers value at home as an underdog—his team covers at a high rate. With both pitching staffs erratic, lean toward Houston on the moneyline and run line, and expect a low‑scoring contest staying under 8.5 runs.
Sources: https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/, https://www.cbssports.com/nba, https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nba/, https://www.mybookie.ag/sportsbook/
