The Blue Jays will play the Orioles in Baltimore on July 30. Toronto is a great value bet because of José Berrios’ superior pitching, even in spite of Baltimore’s recent dominance. Discover the odds, trends, and professional predictions for this crucial AL East matchup.
Match Overview
| Date | Time (ET) | Venue | Teams | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 July 2025 | 12:35 p.m. ET | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | Major League Baseball (MLB) |
Intro Content
On Wednesday, 30 July 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays will face the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET. The Orioles are favored with a moneyline of –115, while the Blue Jays are slight underdogs at –104. Toronto is the run line favorite (Blue Jays –1.5 at +154, Orioles +1.5 at –178), and the game’s over/under is set at 10 runs.
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Game Odds & Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Blue Jays: –104 • Orioles: –115 |
| Run Line | Blue Jays –1.5: +154 • Orioles +1.5: –178 |
| Total Runs (O/U) | Over 10: –105 • Under 10: –113 |
Starting Pitchers
| Team | Pitcher (W‑L, ERA) |
|---|---|
| Blue Jays | José Berrios (7‑4, 3.83 ERA) |
| Orioles | Dean Kremer (8‑7, 4.23 ERA) |
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
- Forecast: Sunny, around 93 °F, 0% chance of rain
- Wind: Approximately 6 mph (likely minor effect)
- Humidity: Very high as typical in Baltimore summer (not specified)
- Ballpark Factor: Camden Yards typically plays neutral, slight edge to hitters under hot, dry conditions
Last 5 Games Record
| Team | Last 5 Games Straight-Up |
|---|---|
| Orioles | 5‑0 |
| Blue Jays | 5‑0 (in recent games vs Baltimore series) |
Head‑to‑Head Record (this series)
| Team | Result in Last 5 Matches |
|---|---|
| Orioles | Won 5 of last 5 games vs Blue Jays (including 3–2, 16–4, 11–4, 5–1, 18–0) |
| Blue Jays | Lost all 5 in recent head-to-head |
Key Insights & Betting Trends
- Orioles are on a 5‑game winning streak
- Orioles have gone over the total in 3 of last 5 games
- Blue Jays have covered 60% of their games ATS this season
- Blue Jays win probability around 53.2% per numberFire
- Kremer’s games as home starter: Orioles 10‑10 ATS when he starts
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
- Moneyline: Blue Jays @ –104
- Run Line: Blue Jays –1.5 @ +154
- Total Runs: Over 10 @ –105
Predicted Outcome
While Baltimore enters as moneyline favorite and riding strong momentum with a five‑game win streak in this series, Toronto’s José Berrios offers a noticeable edge over Dean Kremer in ERA and consistency. With Toronto’s run‑line value at +154 and implied ~53% win probability, the Blue Jays are projected to pull off the road upset, potentially by multiple runs thanks to their more reliable bullpen and hitting depth.
Courtesy: https://www.covers.com/, https://www.globenewswire.com, https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.mytopsportsbooks.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/
