Brewers vs. Mets: Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup and Picks for July 3

The Brewers and Mets have split the series thus far, and they will play each other at Citi Field on July 3. Expect a close, low-scoring game where New York might win by a slim margin at home thanks to the Brewers’ strong pitching and recent trends.

Match Preview

Category	Details
Date	Thursday, July 3, 2025
Time (ET)	7:10 PM
Venue	Citi Field, Queens, NY
Teams	Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
League	Major League Baseball

On Thursday, July 3, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will face the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. The Mets are favored with a moneyline of 1.64, while the Brewers are underdogs at 2.31. New York is also the run line favorite (-1.5, 2.37), and the game’s over/under is set at 8.0 runs.

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Game Odds & Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Moneyline	Brewers: 2.31 • Mets: 1.64
Run Line	Brewers +1.5: 1.74 • Mets -1.5: 2.37
Total Runs (O/U)	Over 8.0: 1.84 • Under 8.0: 1.99

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Starting Pitchers

Team	Pitcher (W-L, ERA)
Milwaukee Brewers	José Quintana (6–2, 3.30 ERA)
New York Mets	David Peterson (5–4, 3.49 ERA)

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Last 5 Games Record

Team	Record
Milwaukee Brewers	3–2 (won 3 of last 4)
New York Mets	2–3 (inconsistent)

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Head-to-Head Record (2025)

Date	Result
July 2 (Gm 1)	Brewers 7–2 (Win)
July 2 (Gm 2)	Mets 7–3 (Win)
Series	Tied 1–1

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Weather & Ballpark Conditions

Condition	Details
Forecast	Partly sunny, hot, chance of t-storms
Temperature	91°F (High)
Wind	Light breeze, variable direction
Humidity	High
Ballpark Factor	Slight edge to hitters

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Key Insights & Betting Trends

• Mets are 20–9 as moneyline favorites above 1.60
• Brewers scoring 6.3 runs per game last 10
• Mets averaging only 3.1 runs over last 10
• Under has hit in 3 of last 4 Brewers games
• Brewers have won 3 straight as underdogs

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Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

Bet Type	Pick
Moneyline	Mets (1.64)
Run Line	Brewers +1.5 (1.74)
Total Runs (O/U)	Under 8.0 (1.99)

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Predicted Outcome

This matchup could tilt either way. While the Mets are home favorites with a solid starter in David Peterson, their bats have cooled off significantly. The Brewers, on the other hand, are trending upward with consistent offensive production and José Quintana dealing effectively on the mound. Expect a closely contested game, likely decided in the late innings. Lean toward the Mets pulling off a narrow win, but the Brewers covering the spread makes strong betting sense. A low-scoring affair is expected with weather potentially keeping the ball in the park.

Courtesy: https://www.covers.com/, https://www.globenewswire.com, https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.mytopsportsbooks.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/