England vs France Prediction: Reigning champions England face their toughest group test as they take on France in their opening match of the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 at Stadion Letzigrund, Zurich, on Saturday night.
Saturday’s Group D match between England and France is the standout fixture of the group stage at the Women’s Euro 2025. England, the defending champions, go up against a French side that has consistently made the knockouts in the last four editions. The Opta supercomputer gives England a narrow edge with a 36.6% win probability, just ahead of France at 36.3%. The match is expected to be tight, with a draw also highly likely – reflected in the 27.1% chance from simulations.
Both teams are considered among the top four contenders for the title, behind only Spain.
England Vs France: Wiegman’s Winning Streak
England manager Sarina Wiegman heads into this match with an unbeaten 12-game record at the Euros. She guided the Netherlands to victory in 2017 and England to the title on home soil in 2022. Her experience in tournament football makes England a serious threat.
Although England lost to Spain in the 2023 World Cup final, their recent win over France in June suggests they are capable of controlling big-game pressure. If they beat France again, it will be the first time since 1974 that England have managed consecutive wins over the French.
France’s Consistency and Unfinished Business
France haven’t lost a group game at the Euros since 2009. They’ve made it to the knockout rounds in the past four editions but have never reached the final. With 26 matches played without a final appearance, they’ll be looking to break new ground in 2025.
Head coach Laurent Bonadei leads a talented French squad featuring Marie-Antoinette Katoto, Kadidiatou Diani, and Grace Geyoro. But with managerial changes in recent years, questions remain over their stability against a well-drilled England side.
England Vs France: Head-to-Head, Too Close to Call
The last six matches between England and France have seen three wins apiece. At the Euros, each side has one win against the other from two meetings. With both nations pushing for a top finish, this game could set the tone for their tournament run.
Historically, the defending champions have never lost their opener at the next Euros (W7 D5), and the last three champions all drew their opening match.
England Vs France: Venue, and Betting Odds
- Date: Saturday
- Time: 8 p.m. BST (3 p.m. ET)
- Venue: Stadion Letzigrund, Zurich
Betfair Odds
- England win: 7/5
- France win: 9/4
- Draw: 23/10
Best Bets and Tips
- England to win: 5/4 (Sky Bet)
- Both teams to score: 8/11 (SBK)
- Draw & BTTS: 18/5 (BetVictor)
- Beth Mead to score or assist: 7/5 (Bet365)
- Alessia Russo to score anytime: 2/1 (Spreadex)
Despite the tight matchup, England’s tournament experience, coaching stability, and recent win over France give them the slight edge. However, with both teams evenly matched, a 1-1 draw remains the most probable outcome.
England Vs France: Prediction
England 1-1 France
With both sides among the strongest in Europe and this being the toughest group fixture, a cautious start is likely. History favors the draw for holders in tournament openers — and both teams would likely settle for a point here before easier matches to come.
