The Guardians will host the Braves in Cleveland on August 16, 2025. Trends point to a close, low-scoring game, with Cleveland favoured at -126. We predict a close Guardians victory with fewer than nine runs scored, breaking down odds, pitching, and betting predictions.
Match Overview
| Field | Details |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, 16 August 2025 |
| Time | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| Venue | Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio |
| Teams | Braves vs. Guardians |
| League | Major League Baseball (MLB) |
On Saturday, 16 August 2025, the Atlanta Braves visit the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The Guardians are favored on the moneyline at –126, while the Braves are underdogs at +105. Cleveland is also the run line favorite at –1.5 (Guardians –1.5), and the game’s over/under is set at 9 runs.
ALSO READ: Red Sox vs. Marlins: August 16 MLB Betting Preview
Game Odds & Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Guardians: –126 • Braves: +105 |
| Run Line | Guardians –1.5: +157 • Braves +1.5: –189 |
| Total Runs (O/U) | Over 9: –101 • Under 9: –120 |
Starting Pitchers
| Team | Pitcher (W-L, ERA) |
|---|---|
| Guardians (Home) | Joey Cantillo (3–2, 4.11 ERA) |
| Braves (Away) | Hurston Waldrep (2–0, 1.54 ERA) |
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
- Forecast: Partly cloudy, around 83°F (28°C)
- Wind: Light, approximately 5 mph, minimal effect expected
- Humidity: ~62%
- Ballpark Factor: Progressive Field’s conditions today offer no strong edge—neutral setup for both hitters and pitchers.
ALSO READ: Blue Jays vs. Rangers: August 16 MLB Betting Preview & Predictions
Last 5 Games Record
| Team | Last 5 Games (SU) |
|---|---|
| Guardians | 4–1 |
| Braves | Not explicitly stated; overall season trends: Braves are around 52–68, implying struggles but specific last 5 SU not available |
Head-to-Head Record (This Season)
- Straight-Up: Guardians 62–57 overall, Braves 52–68 overall
- Against the Spread (ATS): Guardians 61–58, Braves 49–70
- Specific H2H direct matchup record not fully available, but Guardians have been significantly stronger both SU and ATS this season.
Key Insights & Betting Trends
- Guardians win 62.3% of games as moneyline favorites (33–20)
- As favorites of –126 or shorter, Cleveland is 25–10 (71.4%)
- Braves, when underdogs of +105 or worse, are just 6–19 (24%)
- Guardians’ games have gone over the total in 53 of 118 chances; Braves in 53 of 120
- Cleveland averages ~4 runs/game, ranks among lowest scoring teams; Braves slightly better but middling
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
| Bet Type | Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Guardians @ –126 |
| Run Line | Guardians –1.5 @ +157 |
| Total Runs | Under 9 @ –120 |
Predicted Outcome
Cleveland’s offensive consistency and Joey Cantillo’s solid track record as a moneyline starter give them an edge. The Braves’ offense, while respectable, struggles to cover when Victor underdog at +105 or worse. Given the pitching matchup, weather, and trends, a Guardians win, potentially 2–1 or 3–2, under 9 total runs seems likely. This plays into Cleveland’s better performance at home and Atlanta’s underdog struggles—expect a tight game, but Guardians to prevail.
Sources: https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/, https://www.cbssports.com/nba, https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nba/, https://www.mybookie.ag/sportsbook/
