In a highly anticipated MLB matchup, the Cleveland Guardians will host the Atlanta Braves on August 17, 2025. Simulations indicate that Atlanta will cover the run line, with betting odds almost equal. Anticipate a close game with a lean of less than 8.5 runs.
Match Overview
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, 17 August 2025 |
| Time | 1:40 PM ET (10:10 AM AEST) |
| Venue | Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH |
| Teams | Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves |
| League | Major League Baseball (MLB) |
On Sunday, 17 August 2025, the Cleveland Guardians (63–58) host the Atlanta Braves (51–68) at Progressive Field in Cleveland. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 PM ET. The betting line lists the Guardians as favourites at –1.5 with odds around 2.70, while the Braves are +1.5 underdogs at approximately 1.49. The moneyline sees Cleveland at about 1.87 and Atlanta at roughly 1.95. Total runs over/under is set at 8.5 with equal odds on both sides.
ALSO READ: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: August 17 MLB Preview
Game Odds & Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Guardians: 1.87 • Braves: 1.95 |
| Run Line | Guardians −1.5: 2.70 • Braves +1.5: 1.49 |
| Total Runs (O/U) | Over 8.5: 1.91 • Under 8.5: 1.91 |
Starting Pitchers
| Team | Starting Pitcher |
|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | Logan Allen (LHP, 7-9, 3.94 ERA) |
| Atlanta Braves | Erick Fedde (RHP, 4-12, 5.40 ERA) |
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
Forecast: Mostly clear, warm afternoon in Cleveland. Temperatures expected in the mid-80s °F (around 29 °C). Humidity moderate; negligible wind—neutral conditions favoring a balanced pitcher-hitter environment.
Last 5 Games Record
| Team | Last 5 Games |
|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | W, W, W, L, W |
| Atlanta Braves | W, L, W, W, L |
Head-to-Head Record
No specific H2H data provided for 2025, but Cleveland has enjoyed stronger overall form and division stamina in recent weeks.
Key Insights & Betting Trends
- Stats Insider’s simulation model gives both teams an equal 50 % chance to win.
- However, the Braves (+1.5) are projected to cover the run line about 67 % of the time.
- The over/under (8.5 runs) leans slightly under, with under expected just over 51 %.
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
- Run Line: Braves +1.5 @ 1.49
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ 1.91
These selections play into the value identified by the model and the slight edge toward a lower scoring contest.
Guardians vs Braves Predicted Outcome
With Cleveland favored on moneyline but simulations showing a 50–50 split, the smart money may be on Atlanta covering the +1.5 line. Expect a tight, lower-scoring game with strategic pitching duels. Predicted final score: Guardians 4–3 Braves, with Atlanta covering—or pulling an upset.
Sources: https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/, https://www.cbssports.com/nba, https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nba/, https://www.mybookie.ag/sportsbook/
