Guardians vs Cubs Preview: July 3, 2025 MLB Betting Guide
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The Cleveland Guardians will host the Chicago Cubs at Progressive Field on July 3, 2025. Due to their favourable pitching matchups and stellar home record, the Guardians are the clear favourites. Examine the MLB game’s odds, trends, and expert predictions.
Match Overview
Date
Thursday, 3rd Jul 2025
Time (ET)
7:10 PM ET
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Teams
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians
League
Major League Baseball (MLB)
Intro Content On Thursday, July 3, 2025, the Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago Cubs at Progressive Field in Cleveland. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET. The Guardians are the favorites with a moneyline of 1.85, and the Cubs are the underdogs at 2.00. Cleveland is also the run line favorite (-1.5, +140), and the over/under for the game is 8.0 runs.
Game Odds & Lines
Bet Type
Odds
Moneyline
Cubs: 2.00 • Guardians: 1.85
Run Line
Cubs +1.5: -170 • Guardians -1.5: +140
Total Runs (O/U)
Over 8.0: 1.90 • Under 8.0: 1.90
Starting Pitchers
Team
Pitcher (W-L, ERA)
Cubs
Drew Smyly (3-6, 3.85)
Guardians
Triston McKenzie (4-5, 4.10)
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
Condition
Details
Forecast
Mostly clear, 75°F
Wind
Blowing out to right at 7 mph
Humidity
60%
Ballpark Factor
Slight edge to hitters due to wind and dimensions
Last 5 Games Record
Team
Last 5 Games
Cubs
2 Wins – 3 Losses
Guardians
3 Wins – 2 Losses
Head-to-Head Record (2025 Season)
Team
Head-to-Head (2025)
Cubs
1 Win
Guardians
2 Wins
Key Insights & Betting Trends
Guardians have excellent home record
Cubs have trouble providing run support this year
Smyly’s strikeout rate is under league average
Guardians’ offense excels against right-handed pitchers
Combined runs have gone over in 60% of recent games
Expert Picks & Bets of Note
Bet Type
Pick
Moneyline
Guardians @ 1.85
Run Line
Guardians -1.5 @ +140
Total Runs
Over 8.0 @ 1.90
Expected Outcome
The Guardians can utilize their home-field advantage and superior lineup against Smyly’s erratic pitching. McKenzie’s skill at keeping hitters off stride may impinge on the Cubs’ offense, allowing Cleveland the edge to win by more than one run in a competitive but offense-prone ballpark.
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