Despite their recent struggles, the Mets are strong favourites when they host the Guardians on August 5. In a game that is expected to be low-scoring, New York has the advantage due to their depth of pitchers, especially with Clay Holmes on the mound. Expert predictions tend to favour Mets –1.5 and Under 8.
Match Overview
| Date | Time | Venue | Teams | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, August 5, 2025 | 7:10 p.m. ET | Citi Field, Queens, New York | Guardians vs. Mets | Major League Baseball (MLB) |
Intro Content
On Tuesday, August 5, 2025, the Cleveland Guardians will face the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The Mets are favored with a moneyline of –197, while the Guardians are underdogs at +163. New York is also the run line favorite (Mets –1.5 at +110; Guardians +1.5 at –132), and the game’s over/under is set at 8 total runs (Over –117; Under –103).
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Game Odds & Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Guardians: +163 • Mets: –197 |
| Run Line | Guardians +1.5: –132 • Mets –1.5: +110 |
| Total Runs (O/U) | Over 8: –117 • Under 8: –103 |
Starting Pitchers (IN TABLE FORM)
| Team | Starting Pitcher (W‑L, ERA) |
|---|---|
| Guardians | Logan Allen (7‑9, ~4.00 ERA) |
| Mets | Clay Holmes (9‑6, ~3.45 ERA) |
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
Forecast: Not specified in sources (Citi Field) – typically evening conditions with mild breeze, no notable extremes.
Ballpark Factor: Neutral to slight hitter‑friendly typical for Citi Field; no weather adjustments noted.
Last 5 Games Record
| Team | Last 5 SU Record | Last 5 ATS Record |
|---|---|---|
| Mets | 1–4 in last 5 games | 2–3 over last 5 ATS |
| Guardians | 4–1 in last 5 games | ~4–1 ATS last 5 games |
Head‑to‑Head Record
| Date | Winner | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 22–23, 2024 (three games) | Guardians won all three | 6–3, 7–6, 3–1 |
| May 19–21, 2023 (three games) | Mets won two of three | 2–1, 5–4, 10–9 |
Key Insights & Betting Trends
- Mets win ~80% when favored at –197 or shorter
- Guardians have won ~43% as underdogs this season
- Mets implied win probability ~66% from moneyline
- Mets favored record: 50‑30 (62.5%) when ML favorites
- Guardians are just 3‑5 when +163 or worse underdogs
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
- Moneyline: Mets @ –197
- Run Line: Mets –1.5 @ +110
- Total Runs: Under 8 @ –103
Predicted Outcome
The Mets hold the advantage with a better bullpen ERA and stronger clutch stats when heavily favored. Their recent poor form is a concern, but Guardians’ offensive woes limit their upside. Expect a tight, low‑scoring contest where the Mets win by a single run, and the total stays under 8. The better pitching matchup gives New York the edge late in this one.
Sources: https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/, https://www.cbssports.com/nba, https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nba/, https://www.mybookie.ag/sportsbook/
