Mariners vs. Athletics: Betting Preview, Odds & Prediction for July 28
Match Overview
Date
Time ET
Venue
Teams
League
Monday, July 28, 2025
10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics
MLB
On Monday, July 28, 2025, the Seattle Mariners face the Oakland Athletics at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento. First pitch is scheduled for 10:05 PM ET. The Mariners are favored on the moneyline at –131, while the Athletics are underdogs at +110. Seattle is also the run‑line favorite (–1.5 at around –120 odds), and the over/under is set at 10 runs.
Game Odds & Lines
Bet Type
Odds
Moneyline
Mariners: –131 • Athletics: +110
Run Line
Mariners (–1.5): ~–120 • Athletics (+1.5): ~+120
Total Runs (O/U)
Over 10: –102 • Under 10: –121
Starting Pitchers
Team
Pitcher (W‑L, ERA)
Away (SEA)
Luis Castillo (≈7‑6, ≈3.30 ERA)
Home (OAK)
JP Sears (≈7‑8, ≈4.98 ERA)
Last 5 Games Record
Team
Last 5 Games Record
Mariners
~3‑2
Athletics
~4‑1
Head‑to‑Head Record
Season Series
Mariners vs Athletics
2025 Regular Season
Mariners lead the season series (approx)
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
Forecast: Mostly cloudy, around 61 °F by game time in Oakland. Wind: Light, variable—no strong influence. Humidity: Elevated (evening coastal fog likely). Ballpark Factor: Neutral to slight pitcher’s edge with cooler, damp conditions.
Key Insights & Betting Trends
Athletics have won 4 of last 5 games
Mariners are ~56% win probability when favored at this line
A’s hitting near .741 team OPS; Mariners just under .731 OPS
Total has gone over 9.5 in only ~2 of A’s last 5 games
Athletics strong ATS record recently
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
Moneyline: Mariners @ –131
Run Line: Mariners –1.5 @ –120
Total Runs: Under 10 @ –121
Predicted Outcome
Seattle’s pitching edge with Castillo’s efficient ERA and better recent form gives them the advantage, despite Oakland’s hot streak. The damp Oakland night may suppress offense. Mariners should win by 2–3 runs, keeping total under 10.
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