Twins vs. Pirates Betting Preview: Odds, Picks & Prediction for July 12
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The Minnesota Twins are the road favourites to defeat the struggling Pirates in Pittsburgh. Expert predictions predict that Minnesota will win and cover the run line in a high-scoring game because Joe Ryan is pitching well and Mitch Keller is unreliable at night.
Match Overview
Date
Saturday, 12 July 2025
Time
2:10 PM ET
Venue
Target Field, Minnesota
Teams
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
League
Major League Baseball (MLB)
On Saturday, July 12, 2025, the Minnesota Twins will face the Pittsburgh Pirates at Target Field in Minnesota. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 PM ET. The Minnesota Twins are favored with a moneyline of -135, while the Pittsburgh Pirates are underdogs at +115. Minnesota is also the run line favorite (-1.5, +155), and the game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs.
Joe Ryan has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 straight starts
Pirates are 2-6 in last 8 home games
Over has hit in 3 of last 4 Twins games
Mitch Keller has a 5.56 ERA in night games this season
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
Bet Type
Pick
Odds
Moneyline
Twins
-135
Run Line
Twins -1.5
+155
Total Runs
Over 8.5
-110
Predicted Outcome
The Twins look like the better-prepared team heading into this matchup. Joe Ryan has been solid lately, showing good command and consistency, and he’ll be up against a Pirates offense that’s slumping badly at home. Mitch Keller has had flashes of brilliance this season but hasn’t looked sharp over his last few outings, especially under the lights. Minnesota also holds the edge in recent head-to-head meetings and comes in with more momentum. Expect the Twins to control this one from the mound and at the plate — likely covering the run line in a 6–3 type of win.
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