White Sox Favored to Extend Dominance Over Pirates in PNC Park Clash

The White Sox meet the Pirates at PNC Park on July 19, with Dylan Cease favored over Mitch Keller. Backed by recent form and matchup history, Chicago is the smart moneyline and run line play, with value also on the under.

Match Overview

DateTime (ET)VenueTeamsLeague
Saturday, July 19, 20253:40 PM ETPNC Park, Pittsburgh, PAChicago White Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesMajor League Baseball (MLB)

On Saturday, July 19, 2025, the Chicago White Sox will face the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 PM ET. The White Sox are favored with a moneyline of –150, while the Pirates are underdogs at +130. Chicago is also the run line favorite (–1.5, –115), and the game’s over/under is set at 8.5 runs (Over +100 / Under –110).


Game Odds & Lines

Bet TypeOdds
MoneylineChicago White Sox: –150 • Pittsburgh Pirates: +130
Run LineWhite Sox –1.5: –115 • Pirates +1.5: –105
Total Runs (O/U)Over 8.5: +100 • Under 8.5: –110

Starting Pitchers

TeamStarter
Chicago White SoxDylan Cease (7‑4, 3.65 ERA)
Pittsburgh PiratesMitch Keller (5‑6, 4.20 ERA)

Weather & Ballpark Conditions

ConditionDetails
ForecastPartly cloudy, 78 °F
WindBlowing out to right field at 6 mph
Humidity60 %
Ballpark FactorSlight edge to hitters (typical PNC Park wind)

Last 5 Games Record

TeamL‑W‑L‑W‑W (Last 5)
Chicago White SoxW‑W‑L‑W‑L
Pittsburgh PiratesL‑L‑W‑L‑W

Head‑to‑Head (Season Series)

MatchupsRecord
Chicago vs PittsburghWhite Sox lead 2–1

Key Insights & Betting Trends

  • White Sox have won 4 of last 5 vs Pirates
  • Keller tends to give up early runs
  • Cease has 4 quality starts in last 5
  • Under 8.5 profitable in past 7 at PNC under cloudy
  • Pirates better with run line at home

Expert Picks & Recommended Bets

  • Moneyline: Chicago White Sox @ –150
  • Run Line: Chicago White Sox –1.5 @ –115
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 @ –110

Predicted Outcome

Chicago’s Dylan Cease has the advantage on the mound, boasting more consistent strikeout numbers and WHIP control over Pittsburgh’s Keller, who’s struggled with first‑inning pressure. With the White Sox’s recent dominance in this matchup and PNC Park’s wind holding balls in, under 8.5 runs is appealing. Expect the White Sox to keep their hold and secure a 4–2 or 5–3 win, covering the run line.

Courtesy: https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.foxsports.com/, https://www.statsinsider.com

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