Wimbledon Semi Finals 2025: Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka headline Thursday’s Wimbledon women’s semifinals as strong favorites. Swiatek faces Belinda Bencic with momentum and a dominant serve, while Sabalenka battles Amanda Anisimova after multiple comeback wins. Betting markets favor straight-set wins for both, but Sabalenka’s slow starts offer value props.
Wimbledon women’s semifinals betting preview: Swiatek and Sabalenka favored to march into the final
Swiatek and Sabalenka are both heavy favorites in today’s Wimbledon semifinals, but with pressure rising and tricky opponents in their path, bettors could find sharp value in the spreads and props.
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Wimbledon 2025 Semifinal: Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic
Moneyline: Swiatek -300 | Bencic +235
Spread: Swiatek -4.5 (-105) | Bencic +4.5 (-130)
Total Games: Over 21.5 (-115) | Under 21.5 (-115)
Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic Prediction: Swiatek wins in straight sets
Best Bet: Under 21.5 total games (-115)
Iga Swiatek is finally looking at home on grass, and just in time. The World No. 1 has stormed into her first Wimbledon semifinal, dropping just one set all tournament and dominating both on serve and return.
Swiatek has won 77.4% of her first-serve points and has been broken in only 12% of her service games. She’s also broken opponents at a 43.1% clip in the last year, one of the best rates on tour.
Belinda Bencic has fought hard to reach her first Wimbledon semifinal, using a high first-serve percentage (70%) and tiebreak grit to get through close matches. But Swiatek is a massive step up in quality—especially on return. Bencic may hang tough early, but unless she plays lights-out, this one could be over fast.
Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic Head-to-head: Swiatek leads 3-1, including a three-set win at Wimbledon last year when she was still adjusting to grass.
Betting Tips: Swiatek -3.5 games (-147) offers safer value than the full -4.5 spread. If she starts strong, she could roll through this match with a lopsided scoreline.
Wimbledon 2025 Semifinal: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova
Moneyline: Sabalenka -275 | Anisimova +215
Spread: Sabalenka -3.5 (-135) | Anisimova +3.5 (+100)
Total Games: Over 21.5 (-125) | Under 21.5 (-110)
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova Prediction: Sabalenka wins but may drop a set
Best Bet: Sabalenka to come from a break down and win first set & match (+600)
Also Read: Want to learn sports betting? Here’s a beginners guide on how to bet read odds
Sabalenka has made it to her third straight Wimbledon semifinal, but it hasn’t been a smooth ride. She’s fallen behind by a break in three of her last four matches and dropped a set in the quarters to Laura Siegemund. Still, her power and return game have carried her through tough moments.
Amanda Anisimova is in strong form, defeating Pavlyuchenkova in straight sets. But she’s struggled under pressure—failing to close out sets and coughing up leads. Against a fighter like Sabalenka, those lapses can be costly.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova Head-to-head: Sabalenka leads their Grand Slam matchups 2-0
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova Betting Tips: Sabalenka’s slow starts make her a good prop bet target. A +600 line on her coming from a break down in the first set and still winning could be high-value if the pattern holds.
Wimbledon Semi Final Parlay Ideas and Final Picks
Swiatek moneyline (-300) + Sabalenka moneyline (-275) = Safer parlay with solid odds
Swiatek -3.5 games (-147) + Under 21.5 in Sabalenka match (-110) = Value play
Fun long shot: Sabalenka to lose first set and win match (+500)
Both Swiatek and Sabalenka are in the driver’s seat, but their paths to victory look different. Swiatek has looked flawless, while Sabalenka continues to fight through adversity. If you’re betting Thursday’s semifinals, expect Swiatek to win big and Sabalenka to make it dramatic.
