Yankees vs Braves: Odds, Pitching Matchup & Expert Picks for July 19
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Match Overview
Date
Time (ET)
Venue
Teams
League
July 19, 2025 (Saturday)
4:15 PM ET
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves
MLB
On Saturday, July 19, 2025, the New York Yankees will face the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park in Atlanta. First pitch is scheduled for 4:15 PM ET. The Braves are favored on the moneyline at –130, while the Yankees are underdogs at +110. The Braves also lead the run line at –1.5 (+120), with the Yankees at +1.5 (–140). The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Game Odds & Lines
Bet Type
Odds
Moneyline
Yankees: +110 • Braves: –130
Run Line
Yankees +1.5: –140 • Braves –1.5: +120
Total Runs (O/U)
Over 8.5: –110 • Under 8.5: –110
Starting Pitchers
Team
Pitcher
Yankees
Max Fried (8–3, 2.38 ERA)
Braves
Max Fried (3.10 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 8.5 K/9)
Last 5 Games Record
Team
Last 5 Games
Braves
W‑L‑W‑W‑L
Yankees
W‑W‑W‑L‑L
Head-to-Head Record (Last 7 Games)
Team
Wins
Braves
11
Yankees
18
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
Forecast: Mostly clear, ~78°F
Wind: Slight breeze blowing out to left at 6 mph
Humidity: ~65%
Ballpark Factor: Friendly for hitters—short right-field porch plus wind could boost scoring
Key Insights & Betting Trends
Braves favored (~57% implied ML odds)
High-octane offenses; judge and Acuña both near career peaks
Both teams with power-heavy lineups
Starting pitchers solid, but not lockdown
Home-field and matchup edge to Braves
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
Moneyline: Braves @ –130
Run Line: Yankees +1.5 @ –140
Total Runs: Over 8.5 @ –110
Predicted Outcome
Expect a tight, back-and-forth contest, but the Atlanta Braves pull away late. Their lineup—anchored by Ronald Acuña Jr. (1.000 OPS, 34 HR, .310 avg) and Freddie Freeman (.920 OPS)—should exploit the hitter-friendly conditions and home park edge. The Yankees, despite having Max Fried on the mound, may struggle to contain Atlanta’s power. The key will be whether Fried can replicate his Cy Young form (2.38 ERA) away from home. I anticipate a 6–4 Braves win, with over 8.5 combined runs likely given the favorable hitting environment and run-scoring profiles on both sides.
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