The Tigers will host the Diamondbacks at Comerica Park on July 30, 2025. Detroit is the favourite, but Arizona offers value on the run line. Anticipate a competitive game with a potential over as both offences are aggressive. Here are all the details, forecasts, and odds.
Match Overview
| Date | Time (ET) | Venue |
|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, July 30, 2025 | 1:10 p.m. ET | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Teams | League |
|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers | Major League Baseball (MLB) |
Intro Content
On Wednesday, July 30, 2025, the Arizona Diamondbacks will face the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in Detroit. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of –136, while the Diamondbacks are underdogs at +114. Detroit is also the run‑line favorite (–1.5 @ +151), and the game’s over/under is set at 9.0 runs (Over –101, Under –120).
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Game Odds & Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Diamondbacks: +114 • Tigers: –136 |
| Run Line | Diamondbacks +1.5 @ –183 • Tigers –1.5 @ +151 |
| Total Runs (O/U) | Over 9.0: –101 • Under 9.0: –120 |
Starting Pitchers
| Team | Pitcher (W‑L, ERA) |
|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | Ryne Nelson (6‑2, 3.29) |
| Detroit Tigers | Chris Paddack (3‑9, 4.95) |
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
Forecast: Temperature around low‑80s°F, no precipitation, wind light (~7 mph, likely neutral)
Ballpark Factor: Neutral conditions—indoor infield, moderate temperatures—no significant edge.
Last 5 Games Record
| Team | W‑L last 5 | Over/Under split |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers | 3‑2 | Over occurred 2 of last 5 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 1‑4 | Likely similar over/under trend; sharply outscored in recent losses |
Head‑to‑Head Record (this season series)
| Matchup | Series Record | Recent Game Results |
|---|---|---|
| Tigers vs Diamondbacks | Tigers lead series | Tigers won last two: 5‑1 and 12‑2 in this set |
Key Insights & Betting Trends
- Tigers perform strongly as favorites (≈66 % win rate when –136 or shorter ML).
- Diamondbacks cover the +1.5 run line about 63 % of the time this season.
- The total has split nearly 50/50 in simulations, with model indicating even chances for over or under.
- Chris Paddack has struggled as a starter—Detroit is just 1‑8 when he starts as moneyline favorite this season.
- Ryne Nelson has a strong ATS record (9‑3‑0) with the Diamondbacks this season when he pitches.
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
- Moneyline: Tigers @ –136
- Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ –183 (value pick, since they have ~63 % chance to cover)
- Total Runs: Over 9.0 @ –101 (projected close to 50/50 but trending toward over based on recent blowouts)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit’s offense looks sharp—26‑home‑run leaders such as Riley Greene—with strong recent scoring outbursts in this series. Despite Paddack’s poor start stats and Nelson’s effectiveness, the Tigers’ home‑field momentum and their success as moneyline favorites give them the edge. Expect a tight but lively game, with Detroit scraping out a close win, but Arizona likely keeps it within a run thanks to run‑line value.
Courtesy: https://www.covers.com/, https://www.globenewswire.com, https://www.oddsshark.com, https://www.mytopsportsbooks.com/, https://www.foxsports.com/
