Orioles vs Rays Preview: Underdog Value in Tampa Showdown
The Orioles visit the Rays on July 19 in a tightly matched AL showdown. Despite Tampa being slight favorites, Baltimore’s strong form and head-to-head edge make them a sharp run line pick. Expect a close, low-scoring game in Tampa.
Match Overview
Date
Time (ET)
Venue
Teams
League
Saturday, July 19, 2025
7:05 PM
George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
Orioles vs. Rays
MLB
Intro Content On Saturday, July 19, 2025, the Baltimore Orioles will face the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. The Rays are favored at –128 moneyline, while the Orioles are underdogs at +109. Tampa Bay is also the 1.5-run run line favorite (–150), with the Orioles at +130. The over/under is set at 7.5 runs (Over –110 / Under –110).
Game Odds & Lines
Bet Type
Odds
Moneyline
Orioles: +109 • Rays: –128
Run Line
Orioles +1.5: +130 • Rays –1.5: –150
Total Runs (O/U)
Over 7.5: –110 • Under 7.5: –110
Starting Pitchers
Team
Pitcher
Orioles
Dean Kremer (8–7, 4.24 ERA)
Rays
Zack Littell (8–7, 3.56 ERA)
Last 5 Games Record
Team
Last 5 Games (W–L)
Orioles
3–2 (Wins vs Marlins ×2, Mets ×2)
Rays
1–4 (only win vs Tigers)
Head‑to‑Head Record
Category
Since 2001
In 2025 Season
Overall H2H
Rays lead 165–132
Orioles lead 4–3
Weather & Ballpark Conditions
Category
Details
Forecast
Mostly clear, 81°F
Wind
Blowing out to right field at 6 mph
Humidity
71%
Ballpark Factor
Slight edge to hitters due to warm, humid air and wind blowing out
Key Insights & Betting Trends
Orioles 3‑2 in last 5 games
Rays struggling at 1‑4 recently
Littell has dominated Kremer head‑to‑head
Orioles 4–3 vs Rays this season overall
Total hit directly on Over 50 % in H2H matchups
Expert Picks & Recommended Bets
Moneyline: Rays –128
Run Line: Orioles +1.5 @ +130
Total Runs: Under 7.5 @ –110
Predicted Outcome
This one features a strong contrast: Kremer has been reliable lately, while Littell presents the sharper ERA (3.56 vs 4.24). Tampa Bay is slight moneyline favorite, but their overall slump (1–4 in last five) suggests vulnerability. The Orioles’ recent run of success and favorable season head‑to‑head record (4–3) gives them a solid shot, especially with +1.5 cushion. Expect a low‑scoring, tight contest — Rays win 4–3, but Baltimore covers the run line.
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